| 05-09 11:30 |
Wigan
|
|
-1.02 -0.77 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 11.80 Casa: 11.80 / ((10.60 + 10.60) / 2) = 1.11 Jogando fora de casa: 11.80 / ((5.57 + 5.50) / 2) = 2.13 Diff: 1.11 - 2.13 = -1.02 Error: -1.02 + AH line 0.25 = -0.77 |
|
2.90 +0.15 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.00 + 1.40 + 2.40 + 1.00) / 2 = 2.90 Error: 2.90 - Goal line 2.75 = +0.15 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
203 311 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.00 | 1.40 2.40 | 1.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
10.60 | 5.57 5.50 | 10.60 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
10.60 | 7.80 13.20 | 10.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.00 | 3.20 5.40 | 4.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
54.00 | 48.00 33.80 | 41.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 05-09 14:00 |
Leicester
|
|
-
|
|
2.80 +0.05 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.60 + 2.00 + 0.60 + 1.40) / 2 = 2.80 Error: 2.80 - Goal line 2.75 = +0.05 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
122 104 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.60 | 2.00 0.60 | 1.40 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
9.25 | 6.60 17.00 | 11.57 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
14.80 | 13.20 10.20 | 16.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.60 | 4.40 2.40 | 5.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
47.60 | 40.60 35.40 | 65.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 05-09 14:00 |
Reading
|
|
-
|
|
3.10 +0.35 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.40 + 2.20 + 0.60 + 1.00) / 2 = 3.10 Error: 3.10 - Goal line 2.75 = +0.35 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
203 212 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.40 | 2.20 0.60 | 1.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
5.75 | 5.18 11.00 | 17.40 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
13.80 | 11.40 6.60 | 17.40 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.40 | 4.60 2.00 | 5.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
38.60 | 45.40 30.20 | 62.20 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 05-09 14:00 |
Luton
|
|
-
|
|
2.00 -1.00 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.00 + 1.00 + 0.67 + 0.33) / 2 = 2.00 Error: 2.00 - Goal line 3.00 = -1.00 |
5 3 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
410 120 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.00 | 1.00 0.67 | 0.33 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.00 | 8.80 13.50 | 44.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
16.00 | 8.80 9.00 | 14.67 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.60 | 2.40 4.67 | 2.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
48.00 | 52.00 31.67 | 67.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 05-09 14:00 |
Doncaster
|
|
-
|
|
2.40 -0.35 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (0.80 + 0.60 + 2.20 + 1.20) / 2 = 2.40 Error: 2.40 - Goal line 2.75 = -0.35 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
221 212 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
0.80 | 0.60 2.20 | 1.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
13.25 | 13.00 6.27 | 9.33 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
10.60 | 7.80 13.80 | 11.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.80 | 1.40 4.80 | 3.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
39.20 | 36.60 52.60 | 44.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 05-09 14:00 |
Bradford
|
|
-
|
|
2.42 -0.08 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.60 + 1.00 + 1.25 + 1.00) / 2 = 2.42 Error: 2.42 - Goal line 2.50 = -0.08 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
221 211 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.60 | 1.00 1.25 | 1.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.25 | 13.60 6.60 | 16.75 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
13.20 | 13.60 8.25 | 16.75 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
2.80 | 3.40 3.00 | 5.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
60.20 | 38.60 33.00 | 68.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|
| 05-09 14:00 |
Barnsley
|
|
-
|
|
3.10 +0.60 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.00 + 3.00 + 0.40 + 0.80) / 2 = 3.10 Error: 3.10 - Goal line 2.50 = +0.60 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
113 122 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.00 | 3.00 0.40 | 0.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
5.50 | 4.40 19.00 | 14.50 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
11.00 | 13.20 7.60 | 11.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.20 | 6.80 2.60 | 3.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
50.00 | 50.00 41.80 | 51.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
|