| 30-08 10:15 |
FC Utrecht
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3.50 -0.25 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.40 + 1.40 + 2.20 + 1.00) / 2 = 3.50 Error: 3.50 - Goal line 3.75 = -0.25 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
401 401 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.40 | 1.40 2.20 | 1.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.08 | 10.71 6.18 | 8.60 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
19.40 | 15.00 13.60 | 8.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
7.20 | 4.80 6.80 | 3.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
48.00 | 46.80 57.00 | 29.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 30-08 12:30 |
Willem II
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-1.68 -0.93 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 13.85 Casa: 13.85 / ((11.20 + 24.00) / 2) = 0.79 Jogando fora de casa: 13.85 / ((5.25 + 6.00) / 2) = 2.46 Diff: 0.79 - 2.46 = -1.68 Error: -1.68 + AH line 0.75 = -0.93 |
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3.62 +0.38 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.25 + 3.00 + 2.50 + 0.50) / 2 = 3.62 Error: 3.62 - Goal line 3.25 = +0.38 |
4 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
103 310 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.25 | 3.00 2.50 | 0.50 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
11.20 | 5.25 6.00 | 24.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
14.00 | 15.75 15.00 | 12.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.75 | 6.50 5.25 | 4.50 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
39.00 | 56.25 46.25 | 50.50 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 30-08 14:45 |
Telstar
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2.80 -0.45 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.60 + 1.00 + 1.80 + 1.20) / 2 = 2.80 Error: 2.80 - Goal line 3.25 = -0.45 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
212 221 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.60 | 1.00 1.80 | 1.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.00 | 14.20 8.00 | 13.33 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
12.80 | 14.20 14.40 | 16.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.80 | 4.20 5.80 | 4.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
44.00 | 49.40 51.80 | 49.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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