| 06-09 19:00 |
Independiente Petrolero
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3.08 -0.17 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged:
(2.20 + 1.20 + 2.00 + 0.75) / 2 = 3.08
Error: 3.08 - Goal line 3.25 = -0.17 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
311 310 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.20 | 1.20 2.00 | 0.75 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
7.18 | 14.67 7.75 | 14.67 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
15.80 | 17.60 15.50 | 11.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
7.20 | 4.80 7.25 | 4.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
37.20 | 39.80 48.00 | 29.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 06-09 22:00 |
The Strongest
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+0.69 -1.31 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios:
League avg. total shots: 14.37
Дома: 14.37 / ((8.20 + 4.29) / 2) = 2.30
В гостях: 14.37 / ((7.13 + 10.75) / 2) = 1.61
Diff: 2.30 - 1.61 = +0.69
Error: +0.69 + AH line -2.00 = -1.31 |
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4.05 +0.55 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged:
(2.00 + 1.60 + 1.00 + 3.50) / 2 = 4.05
Error: 4.05 - Goal line 3.50 = +0.55 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
311 103 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.00 | 1.60 1.00 | 3.50 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.20 | 7.13 10.75 | 4.29 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
16.40 | 11.40 10.75 | 15.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
6.80 | 4.40 4.25 | 6.75 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
37.80 | 27.80 39.50 | 59.25 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 07-09 0:00 |
Nacional Potosi
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4.00 +1.00 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged:
(1.80 + 1.60 + 1.40 + 3.20) / 2 = 4.00
Error: 4.00 - Goal line 3.00 = +1.00 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
212 014 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.80 | 1.60 1.40 | 3.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.00 | 8.63 5.00 | 4.25 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
14.40 | 13.80 7.00 | 13.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.40 | 5.20 3.40 | 7.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
51.20 | 36.60 19.00 | 32.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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