| 02-09 11:30 |
Sabah FC
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3.08 +0.08 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged:
(1.40 + 1.00 + 2.75 + 1.00) / 2 = 3.08
Error: 3.08 - Goal line 3.00 = +0.08 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
212 301 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 1.00 2.75 | 1.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
5.14 | 8.80 3.91 | 7.75 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
7.20 | 8.80 10.75 | 7.75 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
2.60 | 4.00 4.50 | 2.75 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
39.00 | 33.20 54.25 | 46.25 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 02-09 12:00 |
Melaka FC
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+0.37 +0.12 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios:
League avg. total shots: 10.56
Дома: 10.56 / ((5.00 + 6.25) / 2) = 1.88
В гостях: 10.56 / ((7.00 + 7.00) / 2) = 1.51
Diff: 1.88 - 1.51 = +0.37
Error: +0.37 + AH line -0.25 = +0.12 |
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3.40 +0.65 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged:
(1.40 + 1.40 + 1.60 + 2.40) / 2 = 3.40
Error: 3.40 - Goal line 2.75 = +0.65 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
302 113 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 1.40 1.60 | 2.40 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
5.00 | 7.00 7.00 | 6.25 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
7.00 | 9.80 11.20 | 15.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.60 | 5.00 5.40 | 7.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
45.40 | 57.80 43.60 | 61.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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