| 05-09 11:30 |
Fleetwood Town
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2.10 -0.15 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (0.80 + 0.40 + 1.00 + 2.00) / 2 = 2.10 Error: 2.10 - Goal line 2.25 = -0.15 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
230 112 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
0.80 | 0.40 1.00 | 2.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
15.50 | 31.00 12.75 | 6.75 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
12.40 | 12.40 12.75 | 13.50 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.80 | 2.80 3.75 | 5.75 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
47.40 | 51.00 36.50 | 56.75 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 05-09 14:00 |
Tranmere
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1.70 -0.80 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (0.60 + 1.20 + 0.40 + 1.20) / 2 = 1.70 Error: 1.70 - Goal line 2.50 = -0.80 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
113 113 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
0.60 | 1.20 0.40 | 1.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
18.00 | 10.83 27.50 | 8.50 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
10.80 | 13.00 11.00 | 10.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.00 | 4.40 3.20 | 3.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
48.40 | 56.60 42.40 | 53.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 05-09 14:00 |
Swindon
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3.00 +0.50 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.40 + 1.60 + 1.20 + 1.80) / 2 = 3.00 Error: 3.00 - Goal line 2.50 = +0.50 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
122 113 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 1.60 1.20 | 1.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.00 | 6.63 6.83 | 9.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
11.20 | 10.60 8.20 | 16.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.20 | 4.00 2.60 | 6.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
34.80 | 42.40 40.20 | 53.20 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 05-09 14:00 |
Chesterfield
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-0.96 -1.21 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 11.88 Дома: 11.88 / ((16.40 + 10.17) / 2) = 0.89 В гостях: 11.88 / ((6.71 + 6.09) / 2) = 1.86 Diff: 0.89 - 1.86 = -0.96 Error: -0.96 + AH line -0.25 = -1.21 |
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2.90 +0.15 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.00 + 1.40 + 2.20 + 1.20) / 2 = 2.90 Error: 2.90 - Goal line 2.75 = +0.15 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
113 311 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.00 | 1.40 2.20 | 1.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
16.40 | 6.71 6.09 | 10.17 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
16.40 | 9.40 13.40 | 12.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.20 | 3.40 3.40 | 4.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
70.20 | 33.40 51.20 | 51.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 05-09 14:00 |
Cheltenham
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2.60 -0.15 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.20 + 1.80 + 1.60 + 0.60) / 2 = 2.60 Error: 2.60 - Goal line 2.75 = -0.15 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
212 320 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.20 | 1.80 1.60 | 0.60 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
7.67 | 7.56 7.38 | 22.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
9.20 | 13.60 11.80 | 13.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
2.40 | 5.40 2.80 | 2.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
46.40 | 49.80 55.20 | 59.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 05-09 14:00 |
Accrington Stanley
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2.10 -0.65 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.20 + 1.60 + 0.20 + 1.20) / 2 = 2.10 Error: 2.10 - Goal line 2.75 = -0.65 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
113 023 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.20 | 1.60 0.20 | 1.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
10.83 | 8.50 59.00 | 10.67 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
13.00 | 13.60 11.80 | 12.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.80 | 4.40 3.60 | 5.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
47.60 | 46.00 40.80 | 46.20 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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