| 04-09 12:00 |
GC Mascara
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2.80 +0.80 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.80 + 1.00 + 1.00 + 1.80) / 2 = 2.80 Error: 2.80 - Goal line 2.00 = +0.80 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
212 113 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.80 | 1.00 1.00 | 1.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
5.33 | 5.60 4.20 | 5.22 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
9.60 | 5.60 4.20 | 9.40 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.20 | 2.40 2.00 | 5.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
53.80 | 51.20 34.80 | 64.20 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 04-09 12:00 |
USM El Harrach
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+0.55 -0.45 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 8.31 Дома: 8.31 / ((4.44 + 8.60) / 2) = 1.27 В гостях: 8.31 / ((16.00 + 7.00) / 2) = 0.72 Diff: 1.27 - 0.72 = +0.55 Error: +0.55 + AH line -1.00 = -0.45 |
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2.00 +0.00 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.80 + 0.20 + 1.00 + 1.00) / 2 = 2.00 Error: 2.00 - Goal line 2.00 = +0.00 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
500 203 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.80 | 0.20 1.00 | 1.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
4.44 | 16.00 7.00 | 8.60 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
8.00 | 3.20 7.00 | 8.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.20 | 1.00 3.20 | 3.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
44.40 | 26.60 50.40 | 53.20 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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