| 08-11 18:00 |
FAR Rabat
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2.40 -0.35 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged:
(1.80 + 1.00 + 1.00 + 1.00) / 2 = 2.40
Error: 2.40 - Goal line 2.75 = -0.35| Opponent | FAR Rabat | Difaa El Jadida |
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| Raja Casablanca | L 1-2 H 04-11-26 | L 0-1 A 03-05-26 | | Ittihad Tanger | W 2-0 H 28-10-26 | D 1-1 A 10-05-26 | | Union de Touarga | D 2-2 H 28-06-26 | W 2-1 A 25-06-26 | | KACM Marrakesh | W 2-0 H 21-06-26 | D 1-1 A 25-10-26 | | WAC Casablanca | W 2-1 H 14-06-26 | D 1-1 A 06-04-26 | | Сред. Голы (F | A) | 1.80 - 1.00 | 1.00 - 1.00 |
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | FAR Rabat | Difaa El Jadida |
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| Raja Casablanca | L 1-2 H 04-11-26 | L 0-1 A 03-05-26 | | Ittihad Tanger | W 2-0 H 28-10-26 | D 1-1 A 10-05-26 | | Union de Touarga | D 2-2 H 28-06-26 | W 2-1 A 25-06-26 | | KACM Marrakesh | W 2-0 H 21-06-26 | D 1-1 A 25-10-26 | | WAC Casablanca | W 2-1 H 14-06-26 | D 1-1 A 06-04-26 | | Сред. Голы (F | A) | 1.80 - 1.00 | 1.00 - 1.00 |
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311 131 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.80 | 1.00 1.00 | 1.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
7.33 | 5.00 8.00 | 11.20 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
13.20 | 5.00 8.00 | 11.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
6.40 | 2.20 4.00 | 4.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
62.80 | 44.00 44.20 | 64.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 08-11 20:00 |
Raja Casablanca
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+0.81 +0.06 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios:
League avg. total shots: 9.22
Дома: 9.22 / ((6.57 + 10.25) / 2) = 1.10
В гостях: 9.22 / ((15.33 + 50.00) / 2) = 0.28
Diff: 1.10 - 0.28 = +0.81
Error: +0.81 + AH line -0.75 = +0.06 |
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1.62 -0.62 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged:
(1.40 + 0.60 + 0.25 + 1.00) / 2 = 1.62
Error: 1.62 - Goal line 2.25 = -0.62| Opponent | Raja Casablanca | Ittihad Tanger |
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| HUSA Agadir | D 1-1 H 28-10-26 | D 1-1 A 25-04-26 | | Renaissance Zemamra | W 1-0 H 03-10-26 | L 0-1 A 08-02-26 | | HUSA Agadir | W 2-0 H 02-07-26 | D 1-1 A 25-04-26 | | CODM Meknes | W 2-1 H 21-06-26 | L 0-1 A 06-03-26 | | Union de Touarga | D 1-1 H 14-06-26 | L 0-1 A 02-07-26 | | Сред. Голы (F | A) | 1.40 - 0.60 | 0.25 - 1.00 |
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5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Raja Casablanca | Ittihad Tanger |
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| HUSA Agadir | D 1-1 H 28-10-26 | D 1-1 A 25-04-26 | | Renaissance Zemamra | W 1-0 H 03-10-26 | L 0-1 A 08-02-26 | | HUSA Agadir | W 2-0 H 02-07-26 | D 1-1 A 25-04-26 | | CODM Meknes | W 2-1 H 21-06-26 | L 0-1 A 06-03-26 | | Union de Touarga | D 1-1 H 14-06-26 | L 0-1 A 02-07-26 | | Сред. Голы (F | A) | 1.40 - 0.60 | 0.25 - 1.00 |
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320 013 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 0.60 0.25 | 1.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
6.57 | 15.33 50.00 | 10.25 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
9.20 | 9.20 12.50 | 10.25 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.60 | 4.60 4.75 | 3.75 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
52.40 | 53.60 71.00 | 58.25 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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