| 30-10 8:30 |
Malut United FC
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3.50 +0.75 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.00 + 2.00 + 1.40 + 1.60) / 2 = 3.50 Error: 3.50 - Goal line 2.75 = +0.75| Opponent | Malut United FC | Bhayangkara FC |
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| Persita Tangerang | D 1-1 H 16-05-26 | D 1-1 A 24-01-26 | | Persis Solo | W 5-2 H 02-05-26 | L 1-2 A 22-04-26 | | Persebaya Surabaya | L 0-2 H 23-04-26 | W 2-1 A 14-02-26 | | Dewa United FC | L 1-2 H 12-04-26 | D 2-2 A 11-09-26 | | PSM Makassar | D 3-3 H 07-03-26 | L 1-2 A 04-05-26 | | Сред. Голы (F | A) | 2.00 - 2.00 | 1.40 - 1.60 |
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Malut United FC | Bhayangkara FC |
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| Persita Tangerang | D 1-1 H 16-05-26 | D 1-1 A 24-01-26 | | Persis Solo | W 5-2 H 02-05-26 | L 1-2 A 22-04-26 | | Persebaya Surabaya | L 0-2 H 23-04-26 | W 2-1 A 14-02-26 | | Dewa United FC | L 1-2 H 12-04-26 | D 2-2 A 11-09-26 | | PSM Makassar | D 3-3 H 07-03-26 | L 1-2 A 04-05-26 | | Сред. Голы (F | A) | 2.00 - 2.00 | 1.40 - 1.60 |
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122 122 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.00 | 2.00 1.40 | 1.60 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
2.60 | 3.30 4.43 | 5.13 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
5.20 | 6.60 6.20 | 8.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.60 | 3.40 2.40 | 2.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
26.80 | 37.80 49.40 | 75.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 30-10 12:00 |
Persebaya Surabaya
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+0.97 -0.78 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 9.85 Дома: 9.85 / ((7.09 + 7.86) / 2) = 1.32 В гостях: 9.85 / ((39.00 + 18.00) / 2) = 0.35 Diff: 1.32 - 0.35 = +0.97 Error: +0.97 + AH line -1.75 = -0.78 |
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2.10 -0.90 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.20 + 0.20 + 0.40 + 1.40) / 2 = 2.10 Error: 2.10 - Goal line 3.00 = -0.90| Opponent | Persebaya Surabaya | Persijap Jepara |
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| Madura United | W 3-1 H 26-10-26 | L 0-2 A 06-09-26 | | PSIM Yogyakarta | W 1-0 H 13-09-26 | D 2-2 A 11-03-26 | | Arema FC | W 1-0 H 04-08-26 | L 0-1 A 02-02-26 | | Persija Jakarta | W 1-0 H 26-07-26 | L 0-2 A 03-01-26 | | Persik Kediri | W 5-0 H 23-05-26 | D 0-0 A 06-04-26 | | Сред. Голы (F | A) | 2.20 - 0.20 | 0.40 - 1.40 |
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Persebaya Surabaya | Persijap Jepara |
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| Madura United | W 3-1 H 26-10-26 | L 0-2 A 06-09-26 | | PSIM Yogyakarta | W 1-0 H 13-09-26 | D 2-2 A 11-03-26 | | Arema FC | W 1-0 H 04-08-26 | L 0-1 A 02-02-26 | | Persija Jakarta | W 1-0 H 26-07-26 | L 0-2 A 03-01-26 | | Persik Kediri | W 5-0 H 23-05-26 | D 0-0 A 06-04-26 | | Сред. Голы (F | A) | 2.20 - 0.20 | 0.40 - 1.40 |
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500 023 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.20 | 0.20 0.40 | 1.40 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
7.09 | 39.00 18.00 | 7.86 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
15.60 | 7.80 7.20 | 11.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
6.60 | 3.00 2.20 | 3.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
63.00 | 45.00 48.40 | 70.20 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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