| 26-10 15:00 |
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
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1.77 -0.48 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.00 + 0.80 + 1.00 + 0.75) / 2 = 1.77 Error: 1.77 - Goal line 2.25 = -0.48| Opponent | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Slavia Sofia |
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| Arda Kardzhali | W 2-0 H 02-10-26 | L 0-1 A 24-07-26 | | CSKA Sofia | D 1-1 H 20-09-26 | L 0-1 A 21-02-26 | | Cherno More Varna | W 1-0 H 06-09-26 | W 3-1 A 05-04-26 | | Arda Kardzhali | L 0-1 H 24-08-26 | L 0-1 A 24-07-26 | | Dunav Ruse | L 1-2 H 16-08-26 | W 1-0 A 07-09-26 | | Сред. Голы (F | A) | 1.00 - 0.80 | 1.00 - 0.75 |
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5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Slavia Sofia |
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| Arda Kardzhali | W 2-0 H 02-10-26 | L 0-1 A 24-07-26 | | CSKA Sofia | D 1-1 H 20-09-26 | L 0-1 A 21-02-26 | | Cherno More Varna | W 1-0 H 06-09-26 | W 3-1 A 05-04-26 | | Arda Kardzhali | L 0-1 H 24-08-26 | L 0-1 A 24-07-26 | | Dunav Ruse | L 1-2 H 16-08-26 | W 1-0 A 07-09-26 | | Сред. Голы (F | A) | 1.00 - 0.80 | 1.00 - 0.75 |
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212 202 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.00 | 0.80 1.00 | 0.75 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
11.00 | 13.75 6.50 | 16.67 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
11.00 | 11.00 6.50 | 12.50 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.00 | 4.40 2.00 | 3.75 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
56.60 | 72.20 55.00 | 90.50 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 26-10 17:30 |
CSKA Sofia
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+0.42 +0.17 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 10.07 Дома: 10.07 / ((5.69 + 7.00) / 2) = 1.59 В гостях: 10.07 / ((6.33 + 11.00) / 2) = 1.16 Diff: 1.59 - 1.16 = +0.42 Error: +0.42 + AH line -0.25 = +0.17 |
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3.10 +0.60 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.60 + 1.20 + 1.20 + 1.20) / 2 = 3.10 Error: 3.10 - Goal line 2.50 = +0.60| Opponent | CSKA Sofia | Ludogorets Razgrad |
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| Arda Kardzhali | W 4-1 H 12-09-26 | L 0-1 A 15-04-26 | | Cherno More Varna | W 3-1 H 30-08-26 | W 3-2 A 09-08-26 | | Dunav Ruse | W 2-1 H 02-08-26 | W 2-0 A 27-07-26 | | Botev Plovdiv | W 3-2 H 27-07-26 | L 1-2 A 23-02-26 | | CSKA 1948 Sofia | D 1-1 H 13-05-26 | L 0-1 A 16-05-26 | | Сред. Голы (F | A) | 2.60 - 1.20 | 1.20 - 1.20 |
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | CSKA Sofia | Ludogorets Razgrad |
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| Arda Kardzhali | W 4-1 H 12-09-26 | L 0-1 A 15-04-26 | | Cherno More Varna | W 3-1 H 30-08-26 | W 3-2 A 09-08-26 | | Dunav Ruse | W 2-1 H 02-08-26 | W 2-0 A 27-07-26 | | Botev Plovdiv | W 3-2 H 27-07-26 | L 1-2 A 23-02-26 | | CSKA 1948 Sofia | D 1-1 H 13-05-26 | L 0-1 A 16-05-26 | | Сред. Голы (F | A) | 2.60 - 1.20 | 1.20 - 1.20 |
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410 203 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.60 | 1.20 1.20 | 1.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
5.69 | 6.33 11.00 | 7.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
14.80 | 7.60 13.20 | 8.40 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
7.00 | 4.60 5.40 | 4.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
103.80 | 55.80 84.00 | 49.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 27-10 15:00 |
Cherno More Varna
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2.70 +0.45 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (0.80 + 2.20 + 0.80 + 1.60) / 2 = 2.70 Error: 2.70 - Goal line 2.25 = +0.45| Opponent | Cherno More Varna | Septemvri Sofia |
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| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | L 0-1 H 21-10-26 | L 1-2 A 26-07-26 | | Levski Sofia | L 0-2 H 11-10-26 | L 0-3 A 01-08-26 | | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | D 2-2 H 11-09-26 | D 1-1 A 27-04-26 | | Ludogorets Razgrad | L 2-3 H 09-08-26 | L 1-2 A 14-09-26 | | Spartak Varna | L 0-3 H 26-07-26 | W 1-0 A 17-08-26 | | Сред. Голы (F | A) | 0.80 - 2.20 | 0.80 - 1.60 |
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Cherno More Varna | Septemvri Sofia |
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| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | L 0-1 H 21-10-26 | L 1-2 A 26-07-26 | | Levski Sofia | L 0-2 H 11-10-26 | L 0-3 A 01-08-26 | | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | D 2-2 H 11-09-26 | D 1-1 A 27-04-26 | | Ludogorets Razgrad | L 2-3 H 09-08-26 | L 1-2 A 14-09-26 | | Spartak Varna | L 0-3 H 26-07-26 | W 1-0 A 17-08-26 | | Сред. Голы (F | A) | 0.80 - 2.20 | 0.80 - 1.60 |
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014 113 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
0.80 | 2.20 0.80 | 1.60 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
16.75 | 4.00 10.50 | 6.75 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
13.40 | 8.80 8.40 | 10.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.40 | 3.80 3.40 | 4.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
53.80 | 47.60 61.20 | 62.20 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 27-10 17:30 |
Arda Kardzhali
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2.60 +0.35 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.80 + 1.00 + 1.80 + 0.60) / 2 = 2.60 Error: 2.60 - Goal line 2.25 = +0.35| Opponent | Arda Kardzhali | Levski Sofia |
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| Cherno More Varna | D 1-1 H 19-09-26 | W 2-0 A 11-10-26 | | Botev Plovdiv | L 2-3 H 04-09-26 | W 3-1 A 30-08-26 | | Botev Vratsa | W 2-0 H 31-08-26 | D 0-0 A 13-09-26 | | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | W 3-1 H 17-08-26 | W 2-1 A 25-07-26 | | Slavia Sofia | W 1-0 H 24-07-26 | W 2-1 A 02-09-26 | | Сред. Голы (F | A) | 1.80 - 1.00 | 1.80 - 0.60 |
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Arda Kardzhali | Levski Sofia |
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| Cherno More Varna | D 1-1 H 19-09-26 | W 2-0 A 11-10-26 | | Botev Plovdiv | L 2-3 H 04-09-26 | W 3-1 A 30-08-26 | | Botev Vratsa | W 2-0 H 31-08-26 | D 0-0 A 13-09-26 | | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | W 3-1 H 17-08-26 | W 2-1 A 25-07-26 | | Slavia Sofia | W 1-0 H 24-07-26 | W 2-1 A 02-09-26 | | Сред. Голы (F | A) | 1.80 - 1.00 | 1.80 - 0.60 |
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311 410 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.80 | 1.00 1.80 | 0.60 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
7.78 | 9.60 6.78 | 13.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
14.00 | 9.60 12.20 | 7.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
6.00 | 3.60 4.20 | 3.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
77.20 | 54.60 81.60 | 41.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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