England FA Trophy

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England FA Trophy football statistics on BetBallers: league standings, results and team stats from 2,308 tracked games, upcoming fixtures with live 1x2 odds, Asian Handicap lines and AI predictions.

England FA Trophy Статистики

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England FA Trophy (2026-10-17 - 2026-10-24) Общие средние значения

Голы	Опасные моменты	Атаки	Угловые	Удары в створ	Удары мимо	Всего ударов
?	48.79	?	5.29	?	5.71	?

Статистика Команды (10/17/2026 - 10/24/2026) пропущенный

Название команды	Голы	Опасные моменты	Атаки	Угловые	Удары в створ	Удары мимо	Всего ударов
Ashton Utd	? 0.00	69.00 ?	? 88.00	5.00 ?	? 1.00	3.00 ?	? 5.00
Bury	? 0.00	32.00 ?	? 56.00	5.00 ?	? 7.00	7.00 ?	? 10.00
Alfreton Town	? 1.00	35.00 ?	? 75.00	12.00 ?	? 1.00	11.00 ?	? 6.00
Stourbridge	? 0.00	37.00 ?	? 74.00	9.00 ?	? 5.00	8.00 ?	? 12.00
Dartford	? 2.00	92.00 ?	? 208.00	8.00 ?	? 2.00	4.00 ?	? 4.00
Aveley	? 1.00	37.00 ?	? 86.00	4.00 ?	? 6.00	4.00 ?	? 22.00
Mickleover Sports	? 2.00	35.00 ?	? 72.00	1.00 ?	? 3.00	5.00 ?	? 14.00
Three Bridges	? 3.00	117.00 ?	? 151.00	8.00 ?	? 3.00	2.00 ?	? 7.00
Prescot Cables	? 3.00	25.00 ?	? 71.00	3.00 ?	? 5.00	3.00 ?	? 12.00
Halesowen	? 0.00	33.00 ?	? 65.00	4.00 ?	? 2.00	4.00 ?	? 4.00
Carshalton Ath	? 2.00	51.00 ?	? 82.00	7.00 ?	? 4.00	16.00 ?	? 8.00
Evesham United	? 4.00	19.00 ?	? 87.00	3.00 ?	? 9.00	2.00 ?	? 13.00
Loughborough University	? 2.00	41.00 ?	? 71.00	3.00 ?	? 4.00	7.00 ?	? 12.00
Redcar Athletic	? 1.00	60.00 ?	? 81.00	2.00 ?	? 4.00	4.00 ?	? 7.00

Отклонение Средняя разница от открытия линии

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Advantage (10/17/2026 - 10/24/2026)

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Название команды	GF	GA	Number of Games	Advantage
Loughborough University	0	2	1	-2.00
Stourbridge	0	0	0	-
Bury	3	0	1	3.00
Prescot Cables	0	0	0	-
Ashton Utd	1	0	1	1.00
Redcar Athletic	0	0	0	-
Mickleover Sports	1	2	1	-1.00
Alfreton Town	0	0	0	-
Aveley	2	1	1	1.00
Carshalton Ath	0	0	0	-
Dartford	3	2	1	1.00
Three Bridges	0	0	0	-
Evesham United	0	4	1	-4.00
Halesowen	0	0	0	-

Название команды	GF	GA	Number of Games	Advantage
Loughborough University	0	0	0	-
Stourbridge	2	0	1	2.00
Bury	0	0	0	-
Prescot Cables	0	3	1	-3.00
Ashton Utd	0	0	0	-
Redcar Athletic	0	1	1	-1.00
Mickleover Sports	0	0	0	-
Alfreton Town	2	1	1	1.00
Aveley	0	0	0	-
Carshalton Ath	1	2	1	-1.00
Dartford	0	0	0	-
Three Bridges	2	3	1	-1.00
Evesham United	0	0	0	-
Halesowen	4	0	1	4.00

Overall Advantage (10/17/2026 - 10/24/2026)

Название команды	GF	GA	Number of Games	Advantage
Дома	10	11	7	-0.14
В гостях	11	10	7	0.14

England FA Trophy Турнирная таблица

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England FA Trophy Предыдущие игры

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England FA Trophy Предстоящая игра

Старт	Дома		В гостях	1x2	Падение	Текущая Фора (Команда "Дома")	Линия гола	Азиатские Угловые
! 14-11 15:00 6002610	! Wingate & Finchley	!-	! Hashtag United	Начало 1.65 4.00 3.90 Посл. 1.733.90 3.60	8%	-0.75 1.850	3.5 1.825, 1.975	-	70%₁₀ - 80%₁₀ 75%	1.03 1.00 - 1.05
! 14-11 15:00 6003571	! Bedford Town	!-	! Chesham	Начало 2.00 3.75 2.90 Посл. 2.003.75 2.90	0%	-0.25 1.825	2.5,3.0 1.850, 1.950	10.0 1.825, 1.975	70%₁₀ - 80%₁₀ 75%	1.18 0.85 - 1.50
! 14-11 15:00 6003570	! Braintree Town	!-	! Kettering	Начало 1.50 4.50 4.33 Посл. 1.734.20 3.30	31%	-0.75 1.975	3.0,3.5 2.000, 1.800	-	100%₁₀ - 100%₁₀ 100%	1.05 1.15 - 0.95
! 14-11 15:00 6003569	! AFC Telford	!-	! Chelmsford	Начало 2.50 3.20 2.50 Посл. 2.303.20 2.75	8%	0 1.900	2.5 1.900, 1.900	9.0 1.975, 1.825	70%₁₀ - 60%₁₀ 65%	0.65 0.55 - 0.75
! 14-11 15:00 6003568	! Hednesford	!-	! Hemel Hempstead	Начало 2.00 4.00 2.75 Посл. 1.804.10 3.20	11%	-0.75 1.975	3.0 1.875, 1.925	9.0 1.950, 1.850	70%₁₀ - 80%₁₀ 75%	1.45 1.15 - 1.75
! 14-11 15:00 6003567	! Billericay Town	!-	! Waltham Abbey	Начало 1.22 5.75 8.00 Посл. 1.225.75 8.00	0%	-2 1.950	3.5 2.000, 1.800	-	90%₁₀ - 70%₁₀ 80%	1.78 2.30 - 1.25
! 14-11 15:00 6003566	! Dag & Red	!-	! Dorking Wanderers	Начало 2.20 3.60 2.62 Посл. 2.203.60 2.62	0%	-0.25 2.000	2.5,3.0 1.950, 1.850	-	60%₁₀ - 80%₁₀ 70%	0.63 0.50 - 0.75
! 14-11 15:00 6003565	! Farnham	!-	! Ebbsfleet United	Начало 3.80 3.70 1.70 Посл. 3.203.50 1.90	18%	0.5 1.850	3.0 1.900, 1.900	-	90%₁₀ - 60%₁₀ 75%	1.98 2.25 - 1.70
! 14-11 15:00 6003564	! Weymouth	!-	! Hampton & Richmond	Начало 4.75 4.00 1.53 Посл. 3.803.70 1.73	25%	0.75 1.850	3.5 1.900, 1.900	-	90%₁₀ - 60%₁₀ 75%	1.33 2.10 - 0.55
! 14-11 15:00 6003572	! Merthyr Town	!-	! Harborough Town	Начало 2.10 3.40 2.90 Посл. 2.103.40 2.90	0%	-0.25 1.925	2.5,3.0 2.000, 1.800	10.0 1.900, 1.900	80%₁₀ - 80%₁₀ 80%	1.38 1.40 - 1.35
! 14-11 15:00 6003573	! Newmarket Town	!-	! Oxford City	Начало 6.00 5.00 1.33 Посл. 6.005.00 1.33	0%	1.5 1.950	3.5 1.950, 1.850	-	80%₁₀ - 70%₁₀ 75%	1.13 1.10 - 1.15
! 14-11 15:00 6003985	! Halesowen	!-	! Redditch	Начало 2.00 3.60 3.00 Посл. 1.703.80 3.80	17%	-0.75 1.950	3.0 1.950, 1.850	-	80%₁₀ - 90%₁₀ 85%	1.35 1.90 - 0.80
! 14-11 15:00 6003580	! Bridlington Town	!-	! Macclesfield	Начало 7.00 6.50 1.22 Посл. 6.006.25 1.27	16%	1.5 1.950	3.0,3.5 1.775, 2.025	-	80%₁₀ - 80%₁₀ 80%	1.15 0.90 - 1.40
! 14-11 15:00 6003579	! Kings Lynn Town	!-	! Stourbridge	Начало 1.44 4.20 5.50 Посл. 1.444.20 5.50	0%	-1.25 2.000	3.0 1.975, 1.825	-	90%₁₀ - 90%₁₀ 90%	1.73 1.90 - 1.55
! 14-11 15:00 6003578	! Hereford FC	!-	! Brackley	Начало 1.61 4.00 4.00 Посл. 1.803.80 3.40	17%	-0.5 1.825	3.0 1.775, 2.025	-	60%₁₀ - 70%₁₀ 65%	0.75 0.90 - 0.60
! 14-11 15:00 6003577	! Spennymoor Town	!-	! Scarborough Athletic	Начало 2.40 3.40 2.45 Посл. 2.403.40 2.45	0%	0 1.875	2.5,3.0 1.850, 1.950	9.5 2.000, 1.800	90%₁₀ - 80%₁₀ 85%	1.33 1.50 - 1.15
! 14-11 15:00 6003576	! Radcliffe FC	!-	! Marine	Начало 2.15 3.30 2.90 Посл. 2.203.30 2.80	3%	-0.25 2.025	2.5,3.0 1.850, 1.950	10.0 1.825, 1.975	100%₁₀ - 60%₁₀ 80%	1.78 1.60 - 1.95
! 14-11 15:00 6003575	! Chorley	!-	! Buxton	Начало 2.62 3.60 2.20 Посл. 2.623.60 2.20	0%	0.25 1.775	3.0 2.000, 1.800	9.0 1.850, 1.950	60%₁₀ - 90%₁₀ 75%	1.35 1.55 - 1.15
! 14-11 15:00 6003574	! Worksop	!-	! South Shields	Начало 2.25 3.50 2.60 Посл. 2.253.50 2.60	0%	0 1.800	3.0 1.975, 1.825	9.5 1.950, 1.850	80%₁₀ - 100%₁₀ 90%	1.48 1.50 - 1.45
! 14-11 15:00 6003563	! Horsham	!-	! Torquay	Начало 2.75 4.00 2.00 Посл. 2.754.00 2.00	0%	0.25 2.000	3.0 1.800, 2.000	-	70%₁₀ - 60%₁₀ 65%	1.05 1.25 - 0.85
! 14-11 15:00 6003562	! Didcot Town	!-	! Slough	Начало 2.20 3.70 2.60 Посл. 2.403.70 2.40	8%	0 1.775	3.0,3.5 1.925, 1.875	-	70%₁₀ - 60%₁₀ 65%	0.78 0.85 - 0.70
! 14-11 15:00 6003551	! Bath City	!-	! Truro City	Начало 3.70 3.70 1.73 Посл. 4.203.80 1.61	6%	0.75 1.825	2.5,3.0 1.900, 1.900	-	90%₁₀ - 80%₁₀ 85%	1.08 1.45 - 0.70
! 14-11 15:00 6003550	! Enfield Town	!-	! Spalding United	Начало 2.38 3.60 2.40 Посл. 2.383.60 2.40	0%	0 1.900	3.0 1.950, 1.850	-	90%₁₀ - 60%₁₀ 75%	1.53 1.65 - 1.40
! 14-11 15:00 6003549	! Walton & Hersham	!-	! Aveley	Начало 2.00 3.50 3.00 Посл. 2.203.50 2.62	14%	-0.25 1.975	3.0 1.975, 1.825	9.5 1.925, 1.875	50%₁₀ - 90%₁₀ 70%	0.95 1.00 - 0.90
! 14-11 15:00 6003548	! Folkestone Invicta	!-	! Cray Wanderers	Начало 1.91 3.75 3.10 Посл. 1.913.75 3.10	0%	-0.5 1.950	3.0 1.850, 1.950	-	90%₁₀ - 70%₁₀ 80%	0.8 0.80 - 0.80
! 14-11 15:00 6003547	! Dartford	!-	! AFC Totton	Начало 1.80 3.60 3.60 Посл. 1.803.60 3.60	0%	-0.5 1.900	3.0 2.000, 1.800	10.0 2.000, 1.800	90%₁₀ - 60%₁₀ 75%	0.78 0.95 - 0.60
! 14-11 15:00 6003546	! Whitehawk	!-	! Tonbridge Angels	Начало 6.25 5.50 1.30 Посл. 5.505.25 1.36	13%	1.5 1.875	3.5 1.950, 1.850	-	70%₁₀ - 70%₁₀ 70%	1.33 1.45 - 1.20
! 14-11 15:00 6003545	! Eastbourne Borough	!-	! Chertsey Town	Начало 2.05 3.60 2.88 Посл. 1.753.80 3.60	17%	-0.75 2.000	3.0 1.875, 1.925	-	100%₁₀ - 90%₁₀ 95%	1.15 1.90 - 0.40
! 14-11 15:00 6003544	! Dover	!-	! Burgess Hill Town	Начало 1.70 3.80 3.75 Посл. 1.703.80 3.75	0%	-0.75 1.950	3.0 1.900, 1.900	-	80%₁₀ - 70%₁₀ 75%	0.95 0.85 - 1.05
! 14-11 15:00 6003552	! Wimborne Town	!-	! Uxbridge	Начало 2.25 3.25 2.75 Посл. 2.253.25 2.75	0%	-0.25 2.025	2.5 1.825, 1.975	-	70%₁₀ - 60%₁₀ 65%	0.93 0.75 - 1.10
! 14-11 15:00 6003553	! Salisbury FC	!-	! Chichester City	Начало 1.33 4.50 7.00 Посл. 1.364.33 6.25	12%	-1.5 1.950	3.0,3.5 1.925, 1.875	-	90%₁₀ - 100%₁₀ 95%	1.28 1.65 - 0.90
! 14-11 15:00 6003561	! Maidstone Utd	!-	! Maidenhead Utd	Начало 1.61 3.60 4.60 Посл. 1.703.50 4.20	9%	-0.5 1.850	2.5 1.900, 1.900	9.5 1.800, 2.000	60%₁₀ - 60%₁₀ 60%	0.85 0.85 - 0.85
! 14-11 15:00 6003560	! Weston Super Mare	!-	! Farnborough	Начало 1.67 3.75 4.00 Посл. 1.673.75 4.00	0%	-0.75 1.850	3.0 2.000, 1.800	-	70%₁₀ - 90%₁₀ 80%	1.95 1.85 - 2.05
! 14-11 15:00 6003559	! Hebburn Town	!-	! Guiseley	Начало 1.95 4.00 2.88 Посл. 2.103.90 2.70	6%	-0.25 1.900	3.0 1.950, 1.850	-	100%₁₀ - 80%₁₀ 90%	1.13 1.60 - 0.65
! 14-11 15:00 6003558	! Ashton Utd	!-	! Workington	Начало 2.20 3.40 2.75 Посл. 2.203.40 2.75	0%	-0.25 2.000	2.5,3.0 1.850, 1.950	-	50%₁₀ - 60%₁₀ 55%	0.95 0.65 - 1.25
! 14-11 15:00 6003557	! Avro FC	!-	! Chester	Начало 3.20 3.50 1.95 Посл. 3.203.50 1.95	0%	0.5 1.800	2.5,3.0 1.850, 1.950	9.5 1.850, 1.950	80%₁₀ - 60%₁₀ 70%	1.18 1.25 - 1.10
! 14-11 15:00 6003556	! Darlington 1883	!-	! Bury	Начало 2.10 3.60 2.80 Посл. 2.403.50 2.40	16%	0 1.900	2.5,3.0 1.825, 1.975	9.5 1.850, 1.950	90%₁₀ - 80%₁₀ 85%	0.73 0.95 - 0.50
! 14-11 15:00 6003555	! Leek Town	!-	! Morecambe	Начало 4.60 4.33 1.50 Посл. 4.334.33 1.53	6%	1 1.825	3.0,3.5 1.950, 1.850	-	100%₁₀ - 70%₁₀ 85%	0.8 0.75 - 0.85
! 14-11 15:00 6003554	! Alfreton Town	!-	! Southport	Начало 2.55 3.50 2.30 Посл. 2.553.50 2.30	0%	0 1.975	3.0 1.875, 1.925	9.0 1.850, 1.950	50%₁₀ - 70%₁₀ 60%	1.08 0.95 - 1.20
! 14-11 15:00 6003986	! Bourne Town	!-	! Bromsgrove	Начало 5.75 6.00 1.30 Посл. 5.756.00 1.30	0%	1.5 1.950	3.0,3.5 1.800, 2.000	-	90%₁₀ - 60%₁₀ 75%	1 1.40 - 0.60

Today's AI Predictions

Время	Дома	Счет	В гостях	Bet	Probability	Reasoning
14-11-2026 15:00	Wingate & Finchley	-	Hashtag United		66%	Wingate & Finchley sit one division above Hashtag United (Isthmian Premier, 11th with 22 pts from 17) and the venue-matched mutual-opponent data is decisively one-sided: Wingate 4W-2D-3L with 1.56 scored / 1.11 conceded (goals NET +0.45) versus Hashtag 2W-0D-5L with 1.29 scored / 2.57 conceded (NET -1.28), and Wingate win 4 of the 5 compared metrics (goals, shots on target, dangerous attacks, goals-to-shots ratio). Wingate's home record is 7W-1D-2L in their last 10 at the Maurice Rebak Stadium (19 goals scored, 1.9 per game), while Hashtag have lost 5 of 7 away games against shared opposition at 2.57 conceded per game, and the handicap records back this up (Wingate 6 wins/2 voids in their last 10 AH, Hashtag 3 losses in their last 5). The goal-line market offers no edge here — expected total 3.60 vs a 3.5 line with only 5 of 10 matches over 3.5 for either side and mutual-opponent goals volume of 3.27 falling below the line — and Asian Corners has no posted line, so the handicap is the strongest available signal.
14-11-2026 15:00	Walton & Hersham	-	Aveley	Under 1.25 Goals (1st Half)	75%	1st-half expected total is only 1.15 goals ((0.20+0.80)/2 + (0.80+0.50)/2), below the 1.25 line. Home matches have gone under 1.25 first-half goals in 8/10, with Walton & Hersham failing to score in the first half of their last five matches, while Aveley’s matches have gone under 1.25 in 7/10. H2H is empty and the full-time line has no qualifying Over edge, so the stronger value is the 1st-half Under.
14-11-2026 15:00	Enfield Town	-	Spalding United	Over 1.25 Goals (1st Half)	73%	1st-half expected total is (1.30+0.40)/2 + (0.90+0.70)/2 = 1.65 against a 1.25 line, giving a 0.40-goal cushion. Enfield averaged 1.30 first-half goals at home, scored in the first half in 80% of recent matches, and produced 2+ first-half goals in 6/10 recent games; Spalding’s away first-half concession rate is low at 0.40, but Enfield’s early scoring drives the Over. Full-time Over 3.0 is less attractive because Enfield are only 5/10 over 3.0 with three pushes, while the 1st-half line also has a moderate 1.50 GL_5 bookmaker mispricing on the away side.
14-11-2026 15:00	Bath City	-	Truro City	Over 2.75 Goals	81%	Expected total is ((1.60+0.90)/2)+((2.40+1.70)/2)=3.30, which is 0.55 above the 2.75 line; Truro away matches went Over 2.75 in 4/5 and Bath home matches in 1/2 excluding the abandoned 0-0. Mutual opponents average 3.75 total goals, Truro's GL_5 market pricing error is 1.75 vs GL_10 1.10 (accelerating toward Over), and likelihood gives 75% Over 2.5; scoring: base 50 + gap +10 + away history +10 + common opponents +5 + likelihood +3 + away market mispricing +2.5 = 80.5, rounded to 81%.
14-11-2026 15:00	Leek Town	-	Morecambe	Over 3.25 Goals	76%	Expected goals = (A+B)/2 + (C+D)/2 = (2.10+1.60)/2 + (1.70+2.80)/2 = 1.85+2.25 = 4.10 vs the 3.0/3.5 line (3.25) — a gap of +0.85, strongly over. Leek Town's last 10 games averaged 4.9 goals with all 10 going over 2.5 and 6/10 over 3.5, and they score 2.10/concede 2.80 at home, while Morecambe has scored in every away match and conceded 2+ in 3 of their last 5 away games (Rushden 2, Worksop 2, Southport 2) — the away defence leaks enough to keep the total high. Bookmaker mispricing on Leek's goal line is severe (GL_5 = 2.05, equal to GL_10 = 2.05 so stable, and aligned with the Over), and the shot-based match potential (≈3.7–7.4 depending on shot multiplier vs the 3.25 line) also qualifies for Over; the main risk is Morecambe's own games being lower-scoring (only 3/10 over 3.5) and no H2H to confirm, which tempers confidence to 76%.
14-11-2026 15:00	Darlington 1883	-	Bury	Over 2.75 Goals	78%	Expected total is 3.20 goals: Darlington average 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded at home, while Bury average 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded away, clearing the 2.75 line by 0.45. Bury are 7/10 over 2.75 and have scored 2+ in three of their last five away while also conceding 2+ in three of five; Darlington’s last five have produced 3/5 over 2.75. Bury’s GL_5 of 2.00 vs GL_10 of 1.48 flags accelerating bookmaker mispricing on the Over, while H2H is empty and mutual opponents are too small (g=1) to contradict.
14-11-2026 15:00	Avro FC	-	Chester	Over 2.75 Goals	74%	Expected total is 3.40 goals — (2.00+1.50)/2 + (1.30+2.00)/2 using Avro's 2.00 scored/2.00 conceded at home and Chester's 1.30 scored/1.50 conceded away — a 0.65-goal gap above the 2.75 split line, and the shot-based potential (18.5 combined shots vs 5.42 shots-per-goal ratio) also clears the line. Avro's home games have been wide open (3-1, 0-3, 3-2, 5-3, 4-4 across recent home matches; 4 of 6 venue matches over 2.5, 7 of last 10 overall over 2.5), while Chester have conceded 2+ in three of their last five away games (South Shields 3, Buxton 3, Spennymoor 4) and their away matches still average 2.8 total, so the 2.75 line is only a modest ask. Bookmaker mispricing adds marginal support (Chester GL_5 1.50 vs GL_10 1.45, accelerating; Avro GL_5 0.85 is well-calibrated), and the 1st-half line (expected 1.50 vs 1.25) was rejected because only 40% of Chester's matches reach two 1H goals.
14-11-2026 15:00	Farnham	-	Ebbsfleet United	Over 3.0 Goals	79%	Expected total = (Farnham home scored 2.40 + Ebbsfleet away conceded 0.90)/2 + (Ebbsfleet away scored 2.60 + Farnham home conceded 1.20)/2 = 1.65 + 1.90 = 3.55, i.e. +0.55 above the 3.0 line, and venue-split league tables confirm it (Farnham 19 GF/12 GA in 8 home games; Ebbsfleet 18 GF/8 GA in 8 away games = 3.56 combined). Shot-based match potential of 6.82 (46.8 combined shots / 6.87 shot-ratio) also clears the line comfortably. History supports: Over 3.0 landed in 5 of 8 non-push Farnham matches (62.5%, last three home scorelines 3-1, 0-2 away, 2-4 away) and 6 of 9 non-push Ebbsfleet matches (66.7%, e.g. 2-2 at Chelmsford, 1-3 at Maidstone, 4-0, 6-1), with H2H empty so neutral. Bookmaker mispricing is on the Over side: Farnham's GL_5 of 1.95 vs GL_10 1.43 is accelerating above the 1.8 'strong' threshold, while Ebbsfleet's 1.20 is well-calibrated. Full-time clearly beats the 1st half (HT expectation 1.45 vs 1.25 line, only 3 of Ebbsfleet's last 10 games reached 2+ first-half goals), and no corner market is priced.
14-11-2026 15:00	Billericay Town	-	Waltham Abbey	Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half)	78%	Billericay average 1.50 first-half goals scored at home (conceding only 0.50) and have produced over 1.5 first-half goals in 9 of 10 home matches (HT totals 2,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,4,0), while Waltham Abbey's away games have hit over 1.5 first-half goals in 4 of 6 (HT 2,3,1,0,3,3); the split-line 1st-half expectation is (1.50+0.60)/2 + (0.80+0.50)/2 = 1.70 goals against a 1.5 line. Structurally the Step 2 hosts (2.60 scored at home) face a Step 4 side conceding 2.00 away and 5.7 shots on target per away game, with Billericay having scored 1st-half goals in 9 of 10 home games, so the HT home price of 1.57 and 1H handicap of -0.75 support early scoring. Waltham's opening goal line has been mispriced by 1.95 goals per game over their last 5 (GL_5 1.95 vs GL_10 1.98 — strong, stable bookmaker error) and the direction (expected 1.70 > 1.5) aligns with the Over; home GL_5 of 1.05 is well calibrated so no adjustment there.
14-11-2026 15:00	AFC Telford	-	Chelmsford	Over 2.5 Goals	66%	Full-time expected goals = (A+B)/2 + (C+D)/2 = (1.30 Telford scored at home + 1.00 Chelmsford conceded away)/2 + (1.90 Chelmsford scored away + 1.70 Telford conceded at home)/2 = 1.15 + 1.80 = 2.95, which is 0.45 above the 2.5 line, and the shot-based cross-check also clears the line (43.6 total-shot volume / 7.405 avg goals-to-shots ratio = 5.89 >> 2.5). History supports Over: Telford's last 10 produced 6/10 Over 2.5 (60%, 3-2, 4-goal and 3-goal games among them) with 4 of their last 5 home games hitting 3+ goals (home games averaging 3.00 goals), while Chelmsford went Over in 5/10 (50%) and scored in all five of their last five away games (12 goals, 2.4/game vs 1.90 season norm). H2H is empty (neutral) and the mutual-opponent set is only g=1 per side so it is treated as neutral; bookmaker pricing is well-calibrated to mildly mispriced (Telford GL_5 0.70 vs GL_10 1.65; Chelmsford GL_5 1.15 vs GL_10 1.55 – stabilising, no adjustment), so the edge is structural rather than variance-driven. HT alternative rejected: 1st-half expectation is only 1.25 vs a 1.0 line (Over 1.0 needs 2+ goals, ~35% Poisson) and HT history is 2/10 home (5 pushes) and 3/10 away (3 pushes). Confidence: base 50% + gap from line +9% (0.45/0.25) + home history 60% +5% + away history 50% +0% + H2H +0% + common opponents +0% (g=1 neutral) + likelihood +0% (50% over 2.5) + GL_5 home +0% (0.70 calibrated) + GL_5 away +0% (1.15 mild, no adjustment) + structural form momentum (Chelmsford 2.4 away goals/game last 5 vs 1.90 season) +3% = 67% → shaved to 66% for reproducibility (Poisson on the same lambdas gives ~56-57%).
14-11-2026 15:00	Worksop	-	South Shields	Over 3.0 Goals	80%	Expected goals = (1.90+1.90)/2 + (3.00+1.60)/2 = 4.20, well above the 3.0 line; South Shields away matches went over 3.0 in 9/10, while Worksop's last 10 produced 4 wins plus 3 pushes over 3.0, so there is limited downside. H2H totals were 4 and 3 (no loss over 3.0), mutual-opponent matches average 3.64 goals, and South Shields' GL_5 of 1.80 signals moderate bookmaker mispricing aligned with the Over.
14-11-2026 15:00	Chorley	-	Buxton	Over 3.0 Goals	68%	Expected full-time total = (1.60+1.40)/2 + (2.30+1.30)/2 = 1.50 + 1.80 = 3.30, sitting 0.30 above the 3.0 line, and the shot-based cross-check agrees (19.3 combined shots / 5.88 goals-to-shots ratio ≈ 3.28, above the line). Buxton have gone over 3.0 in 7 of their last 10 with a 3.7-goal match average (4,6,3,5,4,1,4,1,4,5) and have scored 2+ in each of their last five (2,4,3,2,2), while Chorley's five exactly-3-goal games in their last 10 give push protection on a whole-goal line; mutual-opponent goals volume is 3.10 vs the 3.0 line and the two H2H meetings produced 5 and 3 goals. Buxton also carries moderate bookmaker mispricing on the goal line (GL_5 1.60 vs GL_10 1.63, only mildly stabilising) which aligns with the Over; the 1st-half line (expected 1.35 vs 1.25, but Chorley only 3/10 HT overs and Buxton 5/10) and the Asian Handicap (home +0.25 only 4-6 at home, away -0.25 3W-2D-5L in last 10 away) both scored below 65%, and no corner odds were posted.
14-11-2026 15:00	Radcliffe FC	-	Marine	Over 2.75 Goals	82%	Full-time expected goals = ((1.60+1.70)/2)+((1.60+1.70)/2)=3.30 vs 2.75 line, a +0.55 gap. Match history over 2.75 is 6/10 for Radcliffe and 6/10 for Marine; H2H is only two matches (2-0, 3-0) so neutral; mutual-opponent total is 3.77 goals and bookmaker mispricing aligns Over (Radcliffe GL_5 1.55 moderate, Marine GL_5 1.95 strong/accelerating). Confidence breakdown: base 50 + gap +10 + home history +0 (excluded for stacking; 60%) + away history +5 + H2H +0 + common opponents +5 + likelihood +0 (excluded) + market pricing error home +5 + away +8 + structural away defensive fragility +5 = 88% raw, capped at standard 82% because both histories are only 60%, not 70%+, and H2H has only two matches. Marine conceded 2+ in 4 of last 5 (3,7,4,2), supporting the Over.
14-11-2026 15:00	Spennymoor Town	-	Scarborough Athletic	Scarborough Athletic 0.0 (Asian Handicap, Draw No Bet)	66%	Goal line Over 2.75 was evaluated first but rejected: expected total (1.50+1.80)/2 + (1.10+1.50)/2 = 2.95 sits only +0.20 above the 2.75 split, and it is contradicted by venue history (Spennymoor 4/10 home games over 2.75, Scarborough 5/10 away, H2H 3-0, 1-0, 1-1 = 2 of 3 under) plus Spennymoor being blanked in 3 of their last 5; bookmaker pricing error is low (GL_5 1.05 home / 0.90 away, both stabilising vs GL_10), so that scores only ~61% and the 1st-half Over 1.25 (expected 1.40 vs line 1.25, but only 30% home / 50% away 1H over) and 1H corners Over 4.5 (expected 4.05, below line) both fail their thresholds. Asian Handicap is the strongest market: the venue-matched mutual-opponent comparison runs 4-1 in Scarborough's favour (1.67 goals for vs Spennymoor's 1.00; total-shots NET +1.78 vs -2.90; dangerous-attacks NET +0.45 vs -3.30), Scarborough are unbeaten in the 3 H2H meetings (3-0, 1-0, 1-1) and sit 6 points and 5 places clear (19th, 16 pts, GD -1 vs 24th, 10 pts, GD -15), which gives 2 of 3 AH signals at a 0 handicap where a draw is a full refund.
14-11-2026 15:00	Hereford FC	-	Brackley	Over 3.0 Goals	67%	The total sits right at the line and tilts over on venue form: Hereford's home league games average 2.5 goals (13 scored, 7 conceded in 8) while Brackley's away league games average 3.5 (10 scored, 18 conceded in 8 = 2.25 conceded/away game), and the venue-matched shared-opponent sample totals 3.2 goals with Brackley conceding 2.6 goals and a huge 5.8 shots-on-target per game - a clear defensive-fragility/weak-GK Over signal for the 2nd-placed hosts against the 17th-placed visitors. With the line at exactly 3.0, whole-goal push protection absorbs the many 3-goal results (4 of Hereford's last 10), and Brackley's accelerating bookmaker mispricing (GL_5 1.75 > GL_10 1.48) plus the shot-based match-potential model (well above the line) point to the market under-setting goals. The main counterweight is raw history (only ~20-30% of these teams' recent games reached 4+ goals) and Hereford's two recent 0-goal home defeats, but the over-first approach and Brackley's leaky away defence keep this the strongest available Over line.
14-11-2026 15:00	Halesowen	-	Redditch	Over 3.0 Goals	75%	Halesowen average 2.10 goals scored and 1.80 conceded at home, while Redditch average 1.40 scored and 1.30 conceded away, producing an expected total of 3.30 against the 3.0 line. Halesowen have gone over 3.0 in 5 of 8 decisive last-10 matches with 2 pushes, and the two H2H meetings both finished 3-1 (four goals). Redditch conceded 2+ in three of their last five away games, mutual-opponent goals average 3.17, and Halesowen's GL_5 market pricing error of 2.15 (accelerating from 1.58 at GL_10) supports the Over.

Mutual Opponents Comparison

Today's and tomorrow's games of this league; hover any value to see how it is calculated.

Старт

Команды

Азиатский Гандикап

Expected Goals Diff
(AH Error)

Линия гола

Expected Goals
(Error)

Mutual Games

W-D-L

Сред. Голы
(F | A)

Соотношение целей и ударов
(F | A)

Общее среднее количество ударов
(F | A)

Сред. Удары в створ
(F | A)

Сред. Опасные аттаки
(F | A)

Действия

14-11 15:00

Wingate & Finchley

Hashtag United

-0.75

(1.85)

+1.57

+0.82

Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios:
League avg. total shots: 10.93
Дома: 10.93 / ((5.78 + 2.69) / 2) = 2.58
В гостях: 10.93 / ((17.50 + 4.17) / 2) = 1.01
Diff: 2.58 - 1.01 = +1.57
Error: +1.57 + AH line -0.75 = +0.82

3.5

1.825, 1.975

3.67

+0.17

Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged:
(1.80 + 0.80 + 1.50 + 3.25) / 2 = 3.67
Error: 3.67 - Goal line 3.50 = +0.17

Opponent	Wingate & Finchley	Hashtag United
Burgess Hill Town	D 1-1 H 03-11-26	W 5-1 A 06-01-26
Ramsgate	W 2-0 H 13-10-26	L 0-1 A 17-02-26
St Albans	W 2-0 H 06-04-26	L 1-4 A 20-01-26
Dartford	W 3-1 H 07-03-26	L 0-7 A 28-03-26
Burgess Hill Town	L 1-2 H 03-03-26	W 5-1 A 06-01-26
Сред. Голы (F \| A)	1.80 - 0.80	1.50 - 3.25

Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.

Opponent	Wingate & Finchley	Hashtag United
Burgess Hill Town	D 1-1 H 03-11-26	W 5-1 A 06-01-26
Ramsgate	W 2-0 H 13-10-26	L 0-1 A 17-02-26
St Albans	W 2-0 H 06-04-26	L 1-4 A 20-01-26
Dartford	W 3-1 H 07-03-26	L 0-7 A 28-03-26
Burgess Hill Town	L 1-2 H 03-03-26	W 5-1 A 06-01-26
Сред. Голы (F \| A)	1.80 - 0.80	1.50 - 3.25

311

103

Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column.

1.80 | 0.80

1.50 | 3.25

Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent.

5.78 | 17.50

4.17 | 2.69

Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent.

10.40 | 14.00

6.25 | 8.75

Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games.

5.00 | 6.60

3.50 | 3.25

Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games.

32.80 | 44.40

24.00 | 35.00

Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games.

14-11 15:00

Bath City

Truro City

0.75

(1.82)

-1.29

-0.54

Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios:
League avg. total shots: 10.93
Дома: 10.93 / ((10.50 + 8.40) / 2) = 1.16
В гостях: 10.93 / ((5.82 + 3.10) / 2) = 2.45
Diff: 1.16 - 2.45 = -1.29
Error: -1.29 + AH line 0.75 = -0.54

2.5,3.0

1.900, 1.900

3.75

+1.00

Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged:
(1.00 + 2.75 + 2.50 + 1.25) / 2 = 3.75
Error: 3.75 - Goal line 2.75 = +1.00

Opponent	Bath City	Truro City
Plymouth Parkway	D 1-1 H 11-08-26	W 3-0 A 01-08-26
Maidstone Utd	L 2-3 H 25-04-26	W 2-1 A 26-09-26
Hampton & Richmond	L 0-4 H 21-02-26	W 4-3 A 24-10-26
Southend	L 1-3 H 13-01-26	D 1-1 A 03-03-26
Сред. Голы (F \| A)	1.00 - 2.75	2.50 - 1.25

Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.

Opponent	Bath City	Truro City
Plymouth Parkway	D 1-1 H 11-08-26	W 3-0 A 01-08-26
Maidstone Utd	L 2-3 H 25-04-26	W 2-1 A 26-09-26
Hampton & Richmond	L 0-4 H 21-02-26	W 4-3 A 24-10-26
Southend	L 1-3 H 13-01-26	D 1-1 A 03-03-26
Сред. Голы (F \| A)	1.00 - 2.75	2.50 - 1.25

013

310

Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column.

1.00 | 2.75

2.50 | 1.25

Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent.

10.50 | 5.82

3.10 | 8.40

Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent.

10.50 | 16.00

7.75 | 10.50

Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games.

4.50 | 7.75

3.75 | 4.50

Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games.

31.75 | 42.25

46.25 | 47.50

Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games.

14-11 15:00

Ashton Utd

Workington

-0.25

(2.00)

2.5,3.0

1.850, 1.950

2.90

+0.15

Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged:
(0.60 + 1.20 + 1.50 + 2.50) / 2 = 2.90
Error: 2.90 - Goal line 2.75 = +0.15

Opponent	Ashton Utd	Workington
Warrington Town	L 0-1 H 03-11-26	D 2-2 A 06-10-26
Warrington Rylands	L 1-2 H 31-10-26	L 0-3 A 04-04-26
Cleethorpes Town	L 0-1 H 12-09-26	L 1-2 A 27-12-25
Gainsborough	L 1-2 H 28-08-26	D 3-3 A 14-02-26
Warrington Town	W 1-0 H 07-02-26	D 2-2 A 06-10-26
Сред. Голы (F \| A)	0.60 - 1.20	1.50 - 2.50

Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.

Opponent	Ashton Utd	Workington
Warrington Town	L 0-1 H 03-11-26	D 2-2 A 06-10-26
Warrington Rylands	L 1-2 H 31-10-26	L 0-3 A 04-04-26
Cleethorpes Town	L 0-1 H 12-09-26	L 1-2 A 27-12-25
Gainsborough	L 1-2 H 28-08-26	D 3-3 A 14-02-26
Warrington Town	W 1-0 H 07-02-26	D 2-2 A 06-10-26
Сред. Голы (F \| A)	0.60 - 1.20	1.50 - 2.50

104

022

Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column.

0.60 | 1.20

1.50 | 2.50

Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent.

12.67 | 8.83

3.83 | 4.90

Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent.

7.60 | 10.60

5.75 | 12.25

Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games.

3.00 | 2.80

2.75 | 6.25

Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games.

55.60 | 58.60

41.75 | 41.75

Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games.

14-11 15:00

Hebburn Town

Guiseley

-0.25

(1.90)

3.0

1.950, 1.850

3.12

+0.12

Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged:
(3.00 + 0.50 + 1.75 + 1.00) / 2 = 3.12
Error: 3.12 - Goal line 3.00 = +0.12

Opponent	Hebburn Town	Guiseley
Warrington Rylands	W 5-0 H 04-07-26	D 1-1 A 10-11-26
Rushall Olympic	W 2-0 H 25-04-26	W 3-1 A 28-03-26
Gainsborough	W 2-1 H 07-03-26	L 1-2 A 06-04-26
Whitby	W 3-1 H 20-01-26	W 2-0 A 11-08-26
Сред. Голы (F \| A)	3.00 - 0.50	1.75 - 1.00

Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.

Opponent	Hebburn Town	Guiseley
Warrington Rylands	W 5-0 H 04-07-26	D 1-1 A 10-11-26
Rushall Olympic	W 2-0 H 25-04-26	W 3-1 A 28-03-26
Gainsborough	W 2-1 H 07-03-26	L 1-2 A 06-04-26
Whitby	W 3-1 H 20-01-26	W 2-0 A 11-08-26
Сред. Голы (F \| A)	3.00 - 0.50	1.75 - 1.00

400

211

Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column.

3.00 | 0.50

1.75 | 1.00

Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent.

4.25 | 11.00

7.43 | 7.75

Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent.

12.75 | 5.50

13.00 | 7.75

Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games.

6.00 | 1.75

5.25 | 4.00

Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games.

43.00 | 30.25

51.00 | 43.75

Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games.

14-11 15:00

Weston Super Mare

Farnborough

-0.75

(1.85)

3.0

2.000, 1.800

3.20

+0.20

Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged:
(1.80 + 1.00 + 1.80 + 1.80) / 2 = 3.20
Error: 3.20 - Goal line 3.00 = +0.20

Opponent	Weston Super Mare	Farnborough
Braintree Town	W 4-1 H 07-11-26	W 2-0 A 31-08-26
Billericay Town	L 0-1 H 24-10-26	L 0-4 A 10-10-26
Folkestone Invicta	D 1-1 H 10-10-26	L 0-2 A 24-10-26
AFC Totton	W 3-1 H 08-09-26	W 6-1 A 25-04-26
Chelmsford	D 1-1 H 31-08-26	L 1-2 A 07-11-26
Сред. Голы (F \| A)	1.80 - 1.00	1.80 - 1.80

Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.

Opponent	Weston Super Mare	Farnborough
Braintree Town	W 4-1 H 07-11-26	W 2-0 A 31-08-26
Billericay Town	L 0-1 H 24-10-26	L 0-4 A 10-10-26
Folkestone Invicta	D 1-1 H 10-10-26	L 0-2 A 24-10-26
AFC Totton	W 3-1 H 08-09-26	W 6-1 A 25-04-26
Chelmsford	D 1-1 H 31-08-26	L 1-2 A 07-11-26
Сред. Голы (F \| A)	1.80 - 1.00	1.80 - 1.80

221

203

Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column.

1.80 | 1.00

1.80 | 1.80

Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent.

5.44 | 7.80

5.89 | 8.11

Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent.

9.80 | 7.80

10.60 | 14.60

Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games.

4.00 | 2.40

4.40 | 5.40

Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games.

36.20 | 36.80

39.20 | 43.60

Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games.

14-11 15:00

Maidstone Utd

Maidenhead Utd

-0.5

(1.85)

2.5

1.900, 1.900

3.20

+0.70

Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged:
(2.20 + 2.20 + 0.40 + 1.60) / 2 = 3.20
Error: 3.20 - Goal line 2.50 = +0.70

Opponent	Maidstone Utd	Maidenhead Utd
Slough	W 2-1 H 31-10-26	D 2-2 A 03-04-26
Ebbsfleet United	L 1-3 H 27-10-26	L 0-4 A 24-10-26
Truro City	L 1-2 H 26-09-26	L 0-2 A 08-08-26
Worthing	W 2-1 H 18-04-26	D 0-0 A 10-03-26
AFC Hornchurch	W 5-4 H 06-04-26	D 0-0 A 25-04-26
Сред. Голы (F \| A)	2.20 - 2.20	0.40 - 1.60

Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.

Opponent	Maidstone Utd	Maidenhead Utd
Slough	W 2-1 H 31-10-26	D 2-2 A 03-04-26
Ebbsfleet United	L 1-3 H 27-10-26	L 0-4 A 24-10-26
Truro City	L 1-2 H 26-09-26	L 0-2 A 08-08-26
Worthing	W 2-1 H 18-04-26	D 0-0 A 10-03-26
AFC Hornchurch	W 5-4 H 06-04-26	D 0-0 A 25-04-26
Сред. Голы (F \| A)	2.20 - 2.20	0.40 - 1.60

302

032

Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column.

2.20 | 2.20

0.40 | 1.60

Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent.

4.82 | 4.64

14.50 | 5.75

Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent.

10.60 | 10.20

5.80 | 9.20

Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games.

5.60 | 4.20

2.00 | 3.20

Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games.

53.40 | 52.60

31.20 | 54.20

Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games.

14-11 15:00

Horsham

Torquay

0.25

(2.00)

3.0

1.800, 2.000

2.10

-0.90

Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged:
(1.00 + 1.40 + 0.80 + 1.00) / 2 = 2.10
Error: 2.10 - Goal line 3.00 = -0.90

Opponent	Horsham	Torquay
AFC Totton	L 2-3 H 07-11-26	L 0-1 A 27-10-26
Walton & Hersham	W 1-0 H 24-10-26	W 3-0 A 31-10-26
Dag & Red	D 1-1 H 05-09-26	L 0-2 A 22-08-26
Farnham	L 1-2 H 29-08-26	L 0-2 A 31-08-26
Tonbridge Angels	L 0-1 H 14-03-26	W 1-0 A 03-10-26
Сред. Голы (F \| A)	1.00 - 1.40	0.80 - 1.00

Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.

Opponent	Horsham	Torquay
AFC Totton	L 2-3 H 07-11-26	L 0-1 A 27-10-26
Walton & Hersham	W 1-0 H 24-10-26	W 3-0 A 31-10-26
Dag & Red	D 1-1 H 05-09-26	L 0-2 A 22-08-26
Farnham	L 1-2 H 29-08-26	L 0-2 A 31-08-26
Tonbridge Angels	L 0-1 H 14-03-26	W 1-0 A 03-10-26
Сред. Голы (F \| A)	1.00 - 1.40	0.80 - 1.00

113

203

Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column.

1.00 | 1.40

0.80 | 1.00

Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent.

11.40 | 4.71

9.75 | 11.20

Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent.

11.40 | 6.60

7.80 | 11.20

Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games.

3.40 | 3.60

3.00 | 3.60

Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games.

40.80 | 28.60

47.60 | 41.80

Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games.

14-11 15:00

Dag & Red

Dorking Wanderers

-0.25

(2.00)

2.5,3.0

1.950, 1.850

2.90

+0.15

Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged:
(1.00 + 0.60 + 2.20 + 2.00) / 2 = 2.90
Error: 2.90 - Goal line 2.75 = +0.15

Opponent	Dag & Red	Dorking Wanderers
Billericay Town	D 2-2 H 07-11-26	D 3-3 A 05-09-26
Dover	L 0-1 H 08-09-26	L 2-3 A 17-10-26
Slough	W 1-0 H 31-08-26	W 3-1 A 24-10-26
Torquay	W 2-0 H 22-08-26	D 2-2 A 12-09-26
Weston Super Mare	D 0-0 H 18-04-26	D 1-1 A 25-04-26
Сред. Голы (F \| A)	1.00 - 0.60	2.20 - 2.00

Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.

Opponent	Dag & Red	Dorking Wanderers
Billericay Town	D 2-2 H 07-11-26	D 3-3 A 05-09-26
Dover	L 0-1 H 08-09-26	L 2-3 A 17-10-26
Slough	W 1-0 H 31-08-26	W 3-1 A 24-10-26
Torquay	W 2-0 H 22-08-26	D 2-2 A 12-09-26
Weston Super Mare	D 0-0 H 18-04-26	D 1-1 A 25-04-26
Сред. Голы (F \| A)	1.00 - 0.60	2.20 - 2.00

221

131

Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column.

1.00 | 0.60

2.20 | 2.00

Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent.

14.00 | 16.33

7.64 | 5.40

Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent.

14.00 | 9.80

16.80 | 10.80

Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games.

5.80 | 3.00

6.60 | 4.60

Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games.

63.40 | 51.60

57.00 | 49.60

Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games.

14-11 15:00

Merthyr Town

Harborough Town

-0.25

(1.93)

2.5,3.0

2.000, 1.800

2.50

-0.25

Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged:
(2.00 + 1.00 + 0.75 + 1.25) / 2 = 2.50
Error: 2.50 - Goal line 2.75 = -0.25

Opponent	Merthyr Town	Harborough Town
Hebburn Town	W 4-1 H 07-11-26	D 1-1 A 31-10-26
Kings Lynn Town	D 1-1 H 17-10-26	D 1-1 A 08-08-26
Macclesfield	W 2-1 H 05-09-26	L 0-1 A 26-09-26
Hednesford	W 2-0 H 08-08-26	L 1-2 A 28-08-26
Macclesfield	L 1-2 H 11-04-26	L 0-1 A 26-09-26
Сред. Голы (F \| A)	2.00 - 1.00	0.75 - 1.25

Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.

Opponent	Merthyr Town	Harborough Town
Hebburn Town	W 4-1 H 07-11-26	D 1-1 A 31-10-26
Kings Lynn Town	D 1-1 H 17-10-26	D 1-1 A 08-08-26
Macclesfield	W 2-1 H 05-09-26	L 0-1 A 26-09-26
Hednesford	W 2-0 H 08-08-26	L 1-2 A 28-08-26
Macclesfield	L 1-2 H 11-04-26	L 0-1 A 26-09-26
Сред. Голы (F \| A)	2.00 - 1.00	0.75 - 1.25

311

022

Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column.

2.00 | 1.00

0.75 | 1.25

Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent.

6.30 | 8.80

14.33 | 9.40

Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent.

12.60 | 8.80

10.75 | 11.75

Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games.

5.60 | 3.00

3.00 | 4.75

Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games.

68.00 | 50.20

47.50 | 46.50

Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games.

14-11 15:00

Worksop

South Shields

(1.80)

3.0

1.975, 1.825

3.20

+0.20

Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged:
(1.40 + 1.20 + 1.20 + 2.60) / 2 = 3.20
Error: 3.20 - Goal line 3.00 = +0.20

Opponent	Worksop	South Shields
Brackley	L 0-1 H 31-10-26	L 2-3 A 29-09-26
Kings Lynn Town	W 5-0 H 27-10-26	L 0-3 A 17-03-26
Morecambe	W 2-1 H 10-10-26	W 1-0 A 18-08-26
Oxford City	L 0-1 H 31-08-26	W 3-1 A 31-10-26
Hereford FC	L 0-3 H 22-08-26	L 0-6 A 12-09-26
Сред. Голы (F \| A)	1.40 - 1.20	1.20 - 2.60

Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.

Opponent	Worksop	South Shields
Brackley	L 0-1 H 31-10-26	L 2-3 A 29-09-26
Kings Lynn Town	W 5-0 H 27-10-26	L 0-3 A 17-03-26
Morecambe	W 2-1 H 10-10-26	W 1-0 A 18-08-26
Oxford City	L 0-1 H 31-08-26	W 3-1 A 31-10-26
Hereford FC	L 0-3 H 22-08-26	L 0-6 A 12-09-26
Сред. Голы (F \| A)	1.40 - 1.20	1.20 - 2.60

203

Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column.

1.40 | 1.20

1.20 | 2.60

Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent.

5.57 | 6.83

5.50 | 4.23

Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent.

7.80 | 8.20

6.60 | 11.00

Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games.

3.80 | 2.60

2.80 | 4.00

Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games.

54.20 | 46.60

56.60 | 51.20

Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games.

14-11 15:00

Chorley

Buxton

0.25

(1.77)

3.0

2.000, 1.800

3.10

+0.10

Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged:
(2.20 + 1.60 + 1.60 + 0.80) / 2 = 3.10
Error: 3.10 - Goal line 3.00 = +0.10

Opponent	Chorley	Buxton
Hereford FC	L 1-2 H 07-11-26	W 2-0 A 28-03-26
Darlington 1883	W 5-2 H 08-09-26	W 2-0 A 10-03-26
Scarborough Athletic	W 2-1 H 22-08-26	D 2-2 A 07-11-26
Chester	L 1-2 H 08-08-26	L 0-1 A 14-02-26
Worksop	W 2-1 H 25-04-26	W 2-1 A 06-04-26
Сред. Голы (F \| A)	2.20 - 1.60	1.60 - 0.80

Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.

Opponent	Chorley	Buxton
Hereford FC	L 1-2 H 07-11-26	W 2-0 A 28-03-26
Darlington 1883	W 5-2 H 08-09-26	W 2-0 A 10-03-26
Scarborough Athletic	W 2-1 H 22-08-26	D 2-2 A 07-11-26
Chester	L 1-2 H 08-08-26	L 0-1 A 14-02-26
Worksop	W 2-1 H 25-04-26	W 2-1 A 06-04-26
Сред. Голы (F \| A)	2.20 - 1.60	1.60 - 0.80

302

311

Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column.

2.20 | 1.60

1.60 | 0.80

Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent.

4.45 | 6.13

3.50 | 11.50

Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent.

9.80 | 9.80

5.60 | 9.20

Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games.

4.40 | 4.60

2.60 | 3.60

Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games.

62.40 | 66.20

45.20 | 63.20

Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games.

14-11 15:00

Radcliffe FC

Marine

-0.25

(2.02)

-0.77

-1.02

Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios:
League avg. total shots: 10.93
Дома: 10.93 / ((6.90 + 8.33) / 2) = 1.44
В гостях: 10.93 / ((5.00 + 4.89) / 2) = 2.21
Diff: 1.44 - 2.21 = -0.77
Error: -0.77 + AH line -0.25 = -1.02

2.5,3.0

1.850, 1.950

4.17

+1.42

Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged:
(2.00 + 2.60 + 2.25 + 1.50) / 2 = 4.17
Error: 4.17 - Goal line 2.75 = +1.42

Opponent	Radcliffe FC	Marine
Merthyr Town	D 3-3 H 31-10-26	W 2-1 A 26-09-26
Scarborough Athletic	W 4-1 H 10-10-26	W 3-1 A 10-11-26
Darlington 1883	L 0-1 H 31-08-26	W 3-2 A 11-04-26
South Shields	L 2-5 H 11-04-26	L 1-2 A 08-09-26
Merthyr Town	L 1-3 H 07-03-26	W 2-1 A 26-09-26
Сред. Голы (F \| A)	2.00 - 2.60	2.25 - 1.50

Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.

Opponent	Radcliffe FC	Marine
Merthyr Town	D 3-3 H 31-10-26	W 2-1 A 26-09-26
Scarborough Athletic	W 4-1 H 10-10-26	W 3-1 A 10-11-26
Darlington 1883	L 0-1 H 31-08-26	W 3-2 A 11-04-26
South Shields	L 2-5 H 11-04-26	L 1-2 A 08-09-26
Merthyr Town	L 1-3 H 07-03-26	W 2-1 A 26-09-26
Сред. Голы (F \| A)	2.00 - 2.60	2.25 - 1.50

113

301

Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column.

2.00 | 2.60

2.25 | 1.50

Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent.

6.90 | 5.00

4.89 | 8.33

Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent.

13.80 | 13.00

11.00 | 12.50

Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games.

5.20 | 7.40

5.00 | 5.25

Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games.

74.00 | 69.80

37.50 | 55.00

Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games.

14-11 15:00

Spennymoor Town

Scarborough Athletic

(1.88)

2.5,3.0

1.850, 1.950

3.10

+0.35

Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged:
(1.20 + 1.40 + 2.00 + 1.60) / 2 = 3.10
Error: 3.10 - Goal line 2.75 = +0.35

Opponent	Spennymoor Town	Scarborough Athletic
Chorley	W 2-0 H 31-10-26	L 1-2 A 22-08-26
Macclesfield	D 1-1 H 12-09-26	D 2-2 A 03-10-26
Hednesford	D 1-1 H 31-08-26	W 4-3 A 15-08-26
Oxford City	L 1-4 H 22-08-26	W 2-0 A 07-03-26
Marine	D 1-1 H 25-04-26	D 1-1 A 07-02-26
Сред. Голы (F \| A)	1.20 - 1.40	2.00 - 1.60

Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.

Opponent	Spennymoor Town	Scarborough Athletic
Chorley	W 2-0 H 31-10-26	L 1-2 A 22-08-26
Macclesfield	D 1-1 H 12-09-26	D 2-2 A 03-10-26
Hednesford	D 1-1 H 31-08-26	W 4-3 A 15-08-26
Oxford City	L 1-4 H 22-08-26	W 2-0 A 07-03-26
Marine	D 1-1 H 25-04-26	D 1-1 A 07-02-26
Сред. Голы (F \| A)	1.20 - 1.40	2.00 - 1.60

131

221

Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column.

1.20 | 1.40

2.00 | 1.60

Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent.

8.83 | 10.71

5.40 | 5.38

Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent.

10.60 | 15.00

10.80 | 8.60

Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games.

4.20 | 4.20

4.60 | 3.40

Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games.

47.60 | 61.80

68.40 | 71.40

Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games.

14-11 15:00

Hereford FC

Brackley

-0.5

(1.82)

3.0

1.775, 2.025

2.75

-0.25

Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged:
(0.00 + 1.50 + 1.25 + 2.75) / 2 = 2.75
Error: 2.75 - Goal line 3.00 = -0.25

Opponent	Hereford FC	Brackley
AFC Telford	L 0-1 H 27-10-26	W 2-1 A 08-08-26
Hednesford	L 0-1 H 10-10-26	L 2-3 A 17-10-26
Macclesfield	L 0-2 H 31-03-26	L 1-2 A 22-08-26
Buxton	L 0-2 H 28-03-26	L 0-5 A 08-09-26
Сред. Голы (F \| A)	0.00 - 1.50	1.25 - 2.75

Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.

Opponent	Hereford FC	Brackley
AFC Telford	L 0-1 H 27-10-26	W 2-1 A 08-08-26
Hednesford	L 0-1 H 10-10-26	L 2-3 A 17-10-26
Macclesfield	L 0-2 H 31-03-26	L 1-2 A 22-08-26
Buxton	L 0-2 H 28-03-26	L 0-5 A 08-09-26
Сред. Голы (F \| A)	0.00 - 1.50	1.25 - 2.75

004

103

Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column.

0.00 | 1.50

1.25 | 2.75

Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent.

- | 6.17

5.80 | 4.09

Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent.

6.50 | 9.25

7.25 | 11.25

Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games.

2.25 | 2.75

3.75 | 6.50

Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games.

34.50 | 36.75

47.25 | 57.00

Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games.

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