| 04-09 17:00 |
IFK Norrkoping
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2.70 -0.30 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.00 + 0.40 + 1.60 + 1.40) / 2 = 2.70 Error: 2.70 - Goal line 3.00 = -0.30 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
401 122 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.00 | 0.40 1.60 | 1.40 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
7.60 | 18.00 7.13 | 7.86 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
15.20 | 7.20 11.40 | 11.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.80 | 2.60 5.80 | 4.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
58.40 | 38.00 47.20 | 42.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 04-09 17:00 |
Osters IF
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+0.97 +0.97 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 10.77 Дома: 10.77 / ((6.38 + 3.45) / 2) = 2.19 В гостях: 10.77 / ((7.50 + 10.17) / 2) = 1.22 Diff: 2.19 - 1.22 = +0.97 Error: +0.97 + AH line 0.00 = +0.97 |
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3.10 -0.15 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.60 + 1.20 + 1.20 + 2.20) / 2 = 3.10 Error: 3.10 - Goal line 3.25 = -0.15 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
302 113 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.60 | 1.20 1.20 | 2.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
6.38 | 7.50 10.17 | 3.45 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
10.20 | 9.00 12.20 | 7.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.60 | 4.40 4.20 | 3.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
41.40 | 40.20 45.00 | 39.20 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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