| 29-08 15:00 |
Sportist Svoge
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1.68 -0.32 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged:
(1.80 + 0.80 + 0.25 + 0.50) / 2 = 1.68
Error: 1.68 - Goal line 2.00 = -0.32 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
410 031 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.80 | 0.80 0.25 | 0.50 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
3.78 | 7.25 11.00 | 15.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
6.80 | 5.80 2.75 | 7.50 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.40 | 2.60 1.00 | 2.75 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
38.80 | 38.80 33.75 | 43.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 29-08 17:00 |
FK Fratria
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3.00 +0.50 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged:
(2.00 + 1.20 + 2.20 + 0.60) / 2 = 3.00
Error: 3.00 - Goal line 2.50 = +0.50 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
302 410 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.00 | 1.20 2.20 | 0.60 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
6.90 | 6.83 3.64 | 10.67 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
13.80 | 8.20 8.00 | 6.40 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.80 | 3.20 4.00 | 2.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
50.20 | 28.20 44.00 | 42.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 29-08 17:00 |
Ludogorets Razgrad II
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3.52 +1.02 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged:
(2.40 + 1.40 + 2.00 + 1.25) / 2 = 3.52
Error: 3.52 - Goal line 2.50 = +1.02 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
401 301 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.40 | 1.40 2.00 | 1.25 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
2.92 | 4.14 3.38 | 4.60 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
7.00 | 5.80 6.75 | 5.75 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
2.20 | 2.00 3.50 | 2.75 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
21.00 | 19.00 43.25 | 37.25 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 30-08 17:00 |
Spartak Pleven
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+0.29 +0.54 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios:
League avg. total shots: 9.39
Дома: 9.39 / ((10.67 + 3.38) / 2) = 1.34
В гостях: 9.39 / ((15.00 + 3.00) / 2) = 1.04
Diff: 1.34 - 1.04 = +0.29
Error: +0.29 + AH line 0.25 = +0.54 |
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2.20 -0.30 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged:
(1.20 + 0.60 + 1.00 + 1.60) / 2 = 2.20
Error: 2.20 - Goal line 2.50 = -0.30 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
320 104 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.20 | 0.60 1.00 | 1.60 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
10.67 | 15.00 3.00 | 3.38 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
12.80 | 9.00 3.00 | 5.40 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.80 | 3.40 1.80 | 3.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
43.80 | 41.00 11.80 | 13.20 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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