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Italy Serie A

[7] Fiorentina 2
1 Genoa [12]

Round: 23
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Lineups

Lineup

4-2-3-1 4-3-3
43 - David De Gea Nicola Leali - 1
2 - Dodo Stefano Sabelli - 20
5 - Marin Pongracic Koni De Winter - 4
6 - Luca Ranieri Johan Vasquez - 22
21 - Robin Gosens Aaron Martin - 3
8 - Rolando Mandragora Morten Thorsby - 2
24 - Amir Richardson Patrizio Masini - 73
90 - Michael Folorunsho Morten Frendrup - 32
10 - Albert Gudmundsson Maxwel Cornet - 70
9 - Lucas Beltran Andrea Pinamonti - 19
20 - Moise Kean Fabio Miretti - 23

Substitutes

15 - Pietro Comuzzo Benjamin Siegrist - 31
7 - Riccardo Sottil Jeff Ekhator - 21
22 - Matias Moreno Caleb Ekuban - 18
99 - Christian Kouame Milan Badelj - 47
63 - Maat Daniel Caprini Alan Matturro - 33
64 - Jonas Harder Lior Kasa - 53
65 - Fabiano Parisi Daniele Sommariva - 39
14 - Nicolas Valentini Brooke Norton-Cuffy - 15
66 - Tommaso Rubino Alessandro Zanoli - 59
1 - Pietro Terracciano Junior Messias - 10
30 - Tommaso Martinelli Vítor Carvalho - 9
  • Main (5)
Show 1st half stats
Date Home Score Away 1x2 Drop Home Asian Handicap Goal Line Asian Corners Dangerous Attacks Total Shots Shots on Target Corners     
31-10-2024 17:30 4 [20] Genoa 0 - 1 Fiorentina [5] 2
S: - 3.60 ?
K: ?3.75 -
 19%
?
1.950
-
?
?
1.925, 1.875
?-?

14-12

?-?

4-4

Open single page
15-04-2024 16:30 1 [10] Fiorentina 1 - 1 Genoa [12] 2
S: - 3.40 ?
K: ?3.40 -
 2%
?
1.900
-
?
?
1.875, 1.925
?-?

20-7

?-?

6-2

Open single page
19-08-2023 18:45 2 [8] Genoa 1 - 4 Fiorentina [6] 3
S: - 3.30 ?
K: ?3.20 -
 0%
?
1.890
-
?
?
1.800, 2.000
?-?
4-9
?-?
3-4
Open single page
17-01-2022 19:45 1 [8] Fiorentina 6 - 0 Genoa [19] 3
S: - 4.00 ?
K: ?4.50 -
 6%
?
1.850
-
?
?
1.975, 1.825
?-?
20-3
?-?
4-0
Open single page
03-04-2021 13:00 2 [13] Genoa 1 - 1 Fiorentina [14] 1 1
S: - 3.00 ?
K: ?2.88 -
 11%
?
2.050
-
?
?
1.850, 1.950
?-?
8-10
?-?
4-2
Open single page
Fiorentina Genoa
94 - 16th Shot Off Target - Genoa
Corner 93 - 9th Corner - Genoa
92 - 15th Shot Off Target - Fiorentina
Substitution 82 - Substitution - Genoa
Substitution 82 - Substitution - Genoa
Substitution 83 - Substitution - Fiorentina
79 - 4th Yellow Card - Genoa
78 - 14th Shot Off Target - Genoa
77 - 13th Shot Off Target - Genoa
Corner 76 - 8th Corner - Genoa
75 - 3rd Yellow Card - Fiorentina
Substitution 71 - Substitution - Fiorentina
70 - 8th Shot On Target - Fiorentina
68 - 7th Shot On Target - Genoa
Corner 68 - 7th Corner - Genoa
Substitution 66 - Substitution - Genoa
Substitution 66 - Substitution - Genoa
65 - 6th Shot On Target - Fiorentina
Corner 65 - 6th Corner - Fiorentina
64 - 12th Shot Off Target - Fiorentina
60 - 11th Shot Off Target - Genoa
61 - 10th Shot Off Target - Genoa
60 - 9th Shot Off Target - Genoa
58 - 8th Shot Off Target - Genoa
Substitution 56 - Substitution - Fiorentina
55 - 3rd Assist - Genoa
55 - 5th Shot On Target - Genoa
Goal 55 - 3rd Goal - Genoa
Corner 55 - 5th Corner - Genoa
54 - 7th Shot Off Target - Genoa
Corner 54 - 4th Corner - Genoa
49 - 2nd Yellow Card - Fiorentina
47 - 3rd Offside - Fiorentina
Substitution 46 - Substitution - Genoa
45+1 - 4th Shot On Target - Fiorentina
38 - 2nd Offside - Fiorentina
38 - 6th Shot Off Target - Genoa
37 - 5th Shot Off Target - Genoa
Corner 37 - 3rd Corner - Genoa
32 - 3rd Shot On Target - Genoa
Corner 32 - 2nd Corner - Genoa
30 - 2nd Assist - Fiorentina
30 - 2nd Shot On Target - Fiorentina
Goal 30 - 2nd Goal - Fiorentina
26 - 4th Shot Off Target - Genoa
24 - 3rd Shot Off Target - Genoa
19 - 2nd Shot Off Target - Genoa
Corner 19 - 1st Corner - Genoa
18 - 1st Shot Off Target - Genoa
17 - 1st Yellow Card - Fiorentina
12 - 1st Offside - Fiorentina
9 - 1st Assist - Fiorentina
9 - 1st Shot On Target - Fiorentina
Goal 9 - 1st Goal - Fiorentina
  • Current
  • 1st Half
  • 2nd Half
  • Last 5
  • Last 10
  • Last 15
  • Last 20
  • Last 25
  • Since Last Goal
Full-Time xG Corners Penalties Substitutions Offsides Saves Shots Blocked Fouls Ball Safe Goals
Fiorentina 0.64 1 3 0 0 3 3 2 2 18 108 2
Genoa 1.28 8 1 0 0 5 0 3 3 15 93 1
40%
Possession
60%
5
Shots on Target
3
2
Shots off Target
14
72
Attacks
103
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
16:02 - 1x2: 1.012 23.000 501.000
16:00 - Asian Handicap: (0) 2.060, 1.840
16:00 - Goal Line: (3.5) 9.000, 1.070
Last 15 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Fiorentina 0 0 0 0 1 0
Genoa 1 1 0 0 2 0
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
0
1
Shots off Target
3
11
Attacks
29
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
1st Half Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Fiorentina 0 1 0 0 0 2
Genoa 3 0 0 0 1 0
-
Possession
-
3
Shots on Target
1
0
Shots off Target
6
43
Attacks
41
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
2nd half Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Fiorentina 1 2 0 0 3 0
Genoa 5 1 0 0 1 1
-
Possession
-
2
Shots on Target
2
2
Shots off Target
8
29
Attacks
62
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 5 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Fiorentina 0 0 0 0 0 0
Genoa 1 0 0 0 0 0
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
0
1
Shots off Target
1
5
Attacks
16
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 10 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Fiorentina 0 0 0 0 1 0
Genoa 1 0 0 0 0 0
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
0
1
Shots off Target
1
7
Attacks
25
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 15 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Fiorentina 0 0 0 0 0 0
Genoa 1 1 0 0 2 0
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
0
1
Shots off Target
3
11
Attacks
29
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 20 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Fiorentina 0 1 0 0 2 0
Genoa 2 1 0 0 2 0
-
Possession
-
0
Shots on Target
0
1
Shots off Target
3
11
Attacks
39
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Last 25 minutes Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Fiorentina 0 1 0 0 2 0
Genoa 3 1 0 0 0 0
-
Possession
-
1
Shots on Target
1
1
Shots off Target
3
15
Attacks
42
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
Since Last Goal Corners Penalties Substitutions Goals
Fiorentina 1 1 0 0 3 0
Genoa 3 1 0 0 4 0
-
Possession
-
2
Shots on Target
1
2
Shots off Target
7
20
Attacks
56
?
Dangerous Attacks
?
16:02 - 1x2: 1.012 23.000 501.000
16:00 - Asian Handicap: (0) 2.060, 1.840
16:00 - Goal Line: (3.5) 9.000, 1.070

1X2 Odds

Dangerous Attacks

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Possession

Attacks

Statistics based on last games

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UEFA Conference League

  • Overall
  • Home
  • Away

UEFA Conference League 25/26

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Fiorentina 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 AEK Larnaca 2 0 0 5:0 6
3 NK Celje 2 0 0 5:1 6
4 Lausanne Sports 2 0 0 4:0 6
4 Samsunspor 2 0 0 4:0 6
6 Mainz 2 0 0 2:0 6
7 Rayo Vallecano 1 1 0 4:2 4
8 Rakow Czestochowa 1 1 0 3:1 4
9 Strasbourg 1 1 0 3:2 4
10 FC Noah 1 1 0 2:1 4
10 Jagiellonia Bialystok 1 1 0 2:1 4
12 AEK Athens 1 0 1 7:3 3
13 Zrinjski Mostar 1 0 1 5:1 3
14 Lech Poznan 1 0 1 5:3 3
15 Sparta Prague 1 0 1 4:2 3
16 Crystal Palace 1 0 1 2:1 3
17 Shakhtar Donetsk 1 0 1 4:4 3
18 Legia Warsaw 1 0 1 2:2 3
19 HNK Rijeka 1 0 1 1:1 3
20 Shkendija Tetovo 1 0 1 1:2 3
21 AZ 1 0 1 1:4 3
22 Lincoln Red Imps FC 1 0 1 2:6 3
23 KF Drita 0 2 0 2:2 2
24 BK Hacken 0 2 0 2:2 2
25 KuPS Kuopio 0 2 0 1:1 2
26 Omonia Nicosia 0 1 1 1:2 1
27 Shelbourne 0 1 1 0:1 1
28 CS U Craiova 0 1 1 1:3 1
28 Sigma Olomouc 0 1 1 1:3 1
30 Breidablik 0 1 1 0:3 1
31 Slovan Bratislava 0 0 2 1:3 0
32 Hamrun Spartans 0 0 2 0:2 0
33 Shamrock Rovers 0 0 2 1:6 0
34 Dynamo Kiev 0 0 2 0:5 0
35 Rapid Vienna 0 0 2 1:7 0
36 Aberdeen 0 0 2 2:9 0

UEFA Conference League 25/26

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 AEK Athens 1 0 0 6:0 3
2 Zrinjski Mostar 1 0 0 5:0 3
3 AEK Larnaca 1 0 0 4:0 3
4 Lech Poznan 1 0 0 4:1 3
4 Sparta Prague 1 0 0 4:1 3
6 Lausanne Sports 1 0 0 3:0 3
6 Samsunspor 1 0 0 3:0 3
8 NK Celje 1 0 0 3:1 3
9 Fiorentina 1 0 0 2:0 3
9 Rayo Vallecano 1 0 0 2:0 3
9 Rakow Czestochowa 1 0 0 2:0 3
12 Lincoln Red Imps FC 1 0 0 2:1 3
13 AZ 1 0 0 1:0 3
13 FC Noah 1 0 0 1:0 3
13 Mainz 1 0 0 1:0 3
13 HNK Rijeka 1 0 0 1:0 3
13 Jagiellonia Bialystok 1 0 0 1:0 3
13 Shkendija Tetovo 1 0 0 1:0 3
19 BK Hacken 0 1 0 2:2 1
20 CS U Craiova 0 1 0 1:1 1
20 KF Drita 0 1 0 1:1 1
20 KuPS Kuopio 0 1 0 1:1 1
20 Sigma Olomouc 0 1 0 1:1 1
20 Strasbourg 0 1 0 1:1 1
25 Breidablik 0 1 0 0:0 1
25 Shelbourne 0 1 0 0:0 1
27 Aberdeen 0 0 1 2:3 0
28 Shakhtar Donetsk 0 0 1 1:2 0
28 Slovan Bratislava 0 0 1 1:2 0
30 Crystal Palace 0 0 1 0:1 0
30 Hamrun Spartans 0 0 1 0:1 0
30 Legia Warsaw 0 0 1 0:1 0
30 Omonia Nicosia 0 0 1 0:1 0
34 Dynamo Kiev 0 0 1 0:2 0
34 Shamrock Rovers 0 0 1 0:2 0
36 Rapid Vienna 0 0 1 0:3 0

UEFA Conference League 25/26

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Fiorentina 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Crystal Palace 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 NK Celje 1 0 0 2:0 3
4 Shakhtar Donetsk 1 0 0 3:2 3
5 Legia Warsaw 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Strasbourg 1 0 0 2:1 3
7 AEK Larnaca 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Mainz 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Lausanne Sports 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Samsunspor 1 0 0 1:0 3
11 Rayo Vallecano 0 1 0 2:2 1
12 FC Noah 0 1 0 1:1 1
12 Jagiellonia Bialystok 0 1 0 1:1 1
12 KF Drita 0 1 0 1:1 1
12 Omonia Nicosia 0 1 0 1:1 1
12 Rakow Czestochowa 0 1 0 1:1 1
17 BK Hacken 0 1 0 0:0 1
17 KuPS Kuopio 0 1 0 0:0 1
19 Lech Poznan 0 0 1 1:2 0
20 Hamrun Spartans 0 0 1 0:1 0
20 HNK Rijeka 0 0 1 0:1 0
20 Zrinjski Mostar 0 0 1 0:1 0
20 Shelbourne 0 0 1 0:1 0
20 Slovan Bratislava 0 0 1 0:1 0
20 Sparta Prague 0 0 1 0:1 0
26 AEK Athens 0 0 1 1:3 0
27 CS U Craiova 0 0 1 0:2 0
27 Shkendija Tetovo 0 0 1 0:2 0
27 Sigma Olomouc 0 0 1 0:2 0
30 Shamrock Rovers 0 0 1 1:4 0
30 Rapid Vienna 0 0 1 1:4 0
32 Breidablik 0 0 1 0:3 0
32 Dynamo Kiev 0 0 1 0:3 0
34 AZ 0 0 1 0:4 0
35 Lincoln Red Imps FC 0 0 1 0:5 0
36 Aberdeen 0 0 1 0:6 0

Italy Serie A

  • Overall
  • Home
  • Away

Serie A 25/26

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Napoli 7 1 2 16:8 22
2 Inter Milan 7 0 3 24:12 21
3 AC Milan 6 3 1 15:7 21
4 Roma 7 0 3 10:5 21
5 Bologna 5 3 2 16:8 18
6 Juventus 5 3 2 14:10 18
7 Como 4 5 1 12:6 17
8 Lazio 4 3 3 13:7 15
9 Udinese 4 3 3 12:15 15
10 Cremonese 3 5 2 12:12 14
11 Atalanta 2 7 1 13:8 13
12 Sassuolo 4 1 5 11:12 13
13 Torino 3 4 3 10:16 13
14 Cagliari 2 3 5 9:14 9
15 Lecce 2 3 5 8:14 9
16 Parma 1 4 5 5:12 7
17 Pisa 0 6 4 7:14 6
18 Genoa 1 3 6 6:14 6
19 Verona 0 5 5 6:16 5
20 Fiorentina 0 4 6 7:16 4

Serie A 25/26

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Napoli 4 1 0 9:4 13
2 AC Milan 4 1 1 9:6 13
3 Inter Milan 4 0 1 15:4 12
4 Como 3 2 0 9:3 11
5 Juventus 3 2 0 10:5 11
6 Lazio 3 1 1 10:4 10
7 Bologna 3 1 0 7:1 10
8 Roma 3 0 2 5:3 9
9 Udinese 2 2 1 6:7 8
10 Torino 2 2 1 5:6 8
11 Atalanta 1 4 0 7:4 7
12 Cremonese 1 3 1 6:6 6
13 Sassuolo 2 0 3 5:6 6
14 Parma 1 2 2 4:6 5
15 Cagliari 1 1 3 4:7 4
16 Verona 0 3 2 4:6 3
17 Pisa 0 3 2 0:2 3
18 Lecce 0 2 3 3:7 2
19 Genoa 0 2 3 0:6 2
20 Fiorentina 0 1 4 5:10 1

Serie A 25/26

P Team W D L Goals PO
1 Roma 4 0 1 5:2 12
2 Napoli 3 0 2 7:4 9
3 Inter Milan 3 0 2 9:8 9
4 AC Milan 2 2 0 6:1 8
5 Bologna 2 2 2 9:7 8
6 Cremonese 2 2 1 6:6 8
7 Sassuolo 2 1 2 6:6 7
8 Juventus 2 1 2 4:5 7
9 Udinese 2 1 2 6:8 7
10 Lecce 2 1 2 5:7 7
11 Atalanta 1 3 1 6:4 6
12 Como 1 3 1 3:3 6
13 Lazio 1 2 2 3:3 5
14 Cagliari 1 2 2 5:7 5
15 Torino 1 2 2 5:10 5
16 Genoa 1 1 3 6:8 4
17 Fiorentina 0 3 2 2:6 3
18 Pisa 0 3 2 7:12 3
19 Parma 0 2 3 1:6 2
20 Verona 0 2 3 2:10 2
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Likelihood Statistics
Previous Matches
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    Enhanced Winning and Comeback Statistics We’ve refined our winning and comeback formulas with two key improvements: New filtering option: You can now exclude 0-0 games from calculations for more accurate statistics Transparency feature: Hover over any stat to see the complete list of games used in the calculation These enhanced statistics are now available across […]

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  • Match

    We’re thrilled to announce two awesome updates that will take your match analysis to the next level! 1️⃣ You can now view xG stats not only on the match page but also on the in-play page! Simply enable it, and you’ll find these valuable insights in the likelihood stats column.   2️⃣ We’ve introduced two […]

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    The Comeback Factor What is it? The Comeback Factor measures how effectively a team can recover after falling behind in a match. It tells you how often a team can bounce back by scoring the next goal after the other team has taken the lead. How does it work? Every time a team falls behind, […]

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Why Choose BetBallers for Football Betting Statistics?

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  • Live Football Scores & In-Play Stats

    Real-time match data with live scores, in-play statistics, dangerous attacks, and pressure index for informed betting decisions.

    Live Scores In-Play Stats Real-Time Data

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    Proprietary metric measuring how teams recover after falling behind - exclusive to BetBallers for underdog betting strategies.

    Comeback Factor Underdog Stats Winning Factor

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    Complete match statistics including corners, shots, Asian handicap data, head-to-head records, and betting odds comparison.

    Statistics Betting Odds Asian Handicap

  • Momentum Betting Tracker aka Pressure Index

    Track game momentum shifts in real-time to identify betting opportunities during live matches with visual momentum indicators.

    Momentum Live Betting Match Flow

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    Complete fixture schedule, historical results, league standings, and pre-match analysis for Premier League, La Liga, and 100+ leagues.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Everything you need to know about football betting statistics, live scores, and using BetBallers effectively

What statistics and features does BetBallers provide for football betting?

BetBallers is a comprehensive tool designed for football bettors to enhance in-play and pre-game betting performance. The platform provides:

  • Live Match Statistics: Real-time stats including dangerous attacks, corners, shots, and pressure index for all in-play matches
  • Likelihood Stats: Color-coded system covering all markets from First Half Overs to Corners, making it easy to spot whether odds are backed by statistics
  • Variance Stats: Shows average differences from starting lines for Asian Handicap, Goal Line, and Asian Corners to identify mispriced teams in seconds
  • Comeback Factor: Measures how effectively teams recover after falling behind by tracking how often they score the next goal
  • xG Stats: Expected goals available on both match pages and in-play pages within the likelihood stats column
  • Pressure Index: Combines dangerous attacks, total shots, and corners to measure which team is dominating the match

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How does the BetBallers notification system work?

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  • Retrospective Likelihood Stats: Each game's likelihood stats are calculated retrospectively from that particular match for accurate testing
  • Results in Minutes: Get comprehensive backtest results in minutes or even seconds, depending on your rule complexity
  • Advanced Filtering: Filter results by Asian Handicap, Goal Line, Asian Corners, specific days, goals scored within 2 minutes, or missing dangerous attacks

The backtesting system excludes E-Soccer, Beach Soccer, and other shortened matches to ensure data quality. This feature is available to all Gold-Ballers subscription users (1, 3, or 6-month plans).

How does the AI Assistant enhance betting decisions?

BetBallers' AI Assistant helps identify the best value bets and provides quick match insights to enhance your betting strategy:

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What is the Comeback Factor and how can I use it for betting?

The Comeback Factor is a unique BetBallers metric that measures how effectively a team can recover after falling behind in a match:

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Use the Comeback Factor to identify teams with strong resilience when trailing, creating valuable in-play betting opportunities when these teams fall behind. The enhanced statistics are available across multiple pages including team profiles and head-to-head comparisons.

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Likelihood Stats are one of BetBallers' most powerful features, using an eye-catching color-coding system to show whether current odds are backed by historical statistics:

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  • In-Play Integration: Now includes xG stats directly in the likelihood stats column for even more insights

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What is the Pressure Index and how is it calculated?

The Pressure Index is a composite statistic that measures which team is dominating a match by combining multiple attacking metrics:

  • Dangerous Attacks: Genuine scoring opportunities where the attacking team gets into dangerous positions
  • Total Shots: All shot attempts including both on-target and off-target efforts
  • Corners: Corner kicks awarded, indicating sustained attacking pressure
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Use Pressure Index in custom notifications to identify matches where one team is dominating but hasn't scored yet. For example, a notification for home teams with 66%+ Pressure Index while losing 1-0 achieved a 71% win rate in backtesting across 100,000 games.

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  • Custom notification system with unlimited alerts
  • Backtesting system (100,000 games analysis)
  • AI Assistant for schedule and live match analysis
  • Likelihood Stats with color-coding for all markets
  • Variance Stats for Asian Handicap, Goal Line, and Corners
  • Comeback Factor and Pressure Index statistics
  • xG Stats on match and in-play pages

Note: The 2-day trial does not include access to the backtesting system. Backtesting is only available with 1, 3, or 6-month Gold-Baller subscriptions.

What are xG (Expected Goals) stats and how can I use them for betting?

Expected Goals (xG) is an advanced metric that measures the quality of scoring chances by calculating the probability that a shot will result in a goal:

  • Available on Multiple Pages: View xG stats on both the match page and the in-play page for comprehensive analysis
  • Likelihood Stats Integration: Enable xG display to see these valuable insights directly in the likelihood stats column during live matches
  • Quality vs Quantity: xG reveals whether a team is creating genuine scoring opportunities or just accumulating low-quality shots
  • Value Betting Indicator: When a team has high xG but hasn't scored, it often indicates the score doesn't reflect match dominance

How to use xG for in-play betting:

  • Compare xG to actual score - if Team A has 2.3 xG but is losing 0-1, they may be unlucky and due for goals
  • Look for xG gaps between teams - a 1.5+ xG difference suggests one team is creating significantly better chances
  • Combine with Pressure Index - high xG plus 66%+ Pressure Index confirms genuine dominance
  • Use in notifications - create alerts for matches where xG doesn't match the scoreline for value betting opportunities

xG stats were added to the in-play page in August 2024, making BetBallers one of the few platforms to provide real-time expected goals data during live matches for immediate betting decisions.

How do I create effective custom notifications using BetBallers?

Creating effective custom notifications involves combining different statistics and using the backtesting system to validate profitability:

  • Mix Different Stats: Combine real-time stats, likelihood stats, averages, and odds for more accurate filtering
  • Use Likelihood Validation: Include likelihood stats to ensure real-time performance is backed by historical patterns
  • Test Thoroughly: Run backtests on your notifications to validate profitability across 100,000 historical matches
  • Refine and Iterate: If results are unsatisfactory, tweak your rules and run backtests again until you find winning combinations
  • Filter Results: Use filters to exclude games with incomplete stats or where goals were scored within 2 minutes of notification

Example winning notification:

Home underdog, losing by 1 goal, with 66%+ Pressure Index, current Asian Handicap +0.5 (minimum odds 1.80), and kick-off 1X2 odds under 5.00. This achieved 71% win rate (52 wins from 73 matches).

Fine-tuning takes time, but the backtesting system dramatically speeds up the process by providing instant validation instead of waiting months for real-world results.