| 05-09 11:30 |
Aldershot
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-2.15 -2.40 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 10.35 Γηπεδούχος: 10.35 / ((21.00 + 7.38) / 2) = 0.73 Εκτός: 10.35 / ((3.31 + 3.89) / 2) = 2.88 Diff: 0.73 - 2.88 = -2.15 Error: -2.15 + AH line -0.25 = -2.40 |
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3.20 +0.45 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (0.40 + 2.60 + 1.80 + 1.60) / 2 = 3.20 Error: 3.20 - Goal line 2.75 = +0.45 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
005 302 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
0.40 | 2.60 1.80 | 1.60 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
21.00 | 3.31 3.89 | 7.38 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
8.40 | 8.60 7.00 | 11.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
2.60 | 5.00 3.80 | 4.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
70.40 | 58.00 45.00 | 66.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 05-09 11:30 |
Southend
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2.40 -0.35 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.80 + 1.00 + 1.00 + 1.00) / 2 = 2.40 Error: 2.40 - Goal line 2.75 = -0.35 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
320 112 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.80 | 1.00 1.00 | 1.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
7.11 | 5.40 6.00 | 6.75 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
12.80 | 5.40 6.00 | 6.75 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.80 | 2.20 3.50 | 3.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
77.80 | 47.00 50.50 | 86.75 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 05-09 14:00 |
Gateshead
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2.98 -0.02 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.40 + 0.80 + 1.50 + 2.25) / 2 = 2.98 Error: 2.98 - Goal line 3.00 = -0.02 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
401 112 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 0.80 1.50 | 2.25 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
6.00 | 8.50 5.50 | 5.67 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
8.40 | 6.80 8.25 | 12.75 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.80 | 3.00 4.50 | 6.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
75.00 | 50.40 55.75 | 63.50 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 05-09 14:00 |
Tamworth
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3.10 +0.10 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.80 + 0.60 + 1.80 + 2.00) / 2 = 3.10 Error: 3.10 - Goal line 3.00 = +0.10 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
401 221 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.80 | 0.60 1.80 | 2.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
7.11 | 14.33 4.67 | 5.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
12.80 | 8.60 8.40 | 10.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.20 | 3.80 4.20 | 4.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
63.80 | 52.60 40.60 | 68.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 05-09 14:00 |
Hartlepool
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2.83 +0.33 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.40 + 1.00 + 1.00 + 2.25) / 2 = 2.83 Error: 2.83 - Goal line 2.50 = +0.33 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
311 022 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 1.00 1.00 | 2.25 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
7.00 | 12.60 5.00 | 5.67 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
9.80 | 12.60 5.00 | 12.75 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.40 | 4.00 1.75 | 6.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
53.40 | 78.80 48.75 | 80.25 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 05-09 16:30 |
Boreham Wood
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-0.85 -1.60 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 10.35 Γηπεδούχος: 10.35 / ((7.67 + 9.38) / 2) = 1.21 Εκτός: 10.35 / ((3.89 + 6.14) / 2) = 2.06 Diff: 1.21 - 2.06 = -0.85 Error: -0.85 + AH line -0.75 = -1.60 |
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3.60 +0.60 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.40 + 1.80 + 1.40 + 1.60) / 2 = 3.60 Error: 3.60 - Goal line 3.00 = +0.60 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
311 203 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.40 | 1.80 1.40 | 1.60 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
7.67 | 3.89 6.14 | 9.38 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
18.40 | 7.00 8.60 | 15.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
6.80 | 2.80 3.60 | 4.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
76.20 | 42.60 55.60 | 75.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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