| 05-09 11:30 |
Newcastle
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3.60 +0.60 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.00 + 1.60 + 1.60 + 2.00) / 2 = 3.60 Error: 3.60 - Goal line 3.00 = +0.60 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
302 032 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.00 | 1.60 1.60 | 2.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
6.60 | 10.00 7.38 | 8.60 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
13.20 | 16.00 11.80 | 17.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.00 | 6.40 5.20 | 5.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
41.20 | 61.40 38.00 | 55.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 05-09 11:30 |
Newcastle
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3.60 +0.60 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.00 + 1.60 + 1.60 + 2.00) / 2 = 3.60 Error: 3.60 - Goal line 3.00 = +0.60 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
302 032 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.00 | 1.60 1.60 | 2.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
6.60 | 10.00 7.38 | 8.60 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
13.20 | 16.00 11.80 | 17.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.00 | 6.40 5.20 | 5.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
41.20 | 61.40 38.00 | 55.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 05-09 14:00 |
Fulham
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+0.23 -0.02 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 12.63 Γηπεδούχος: 12.63 / ((11.14 + 7.88) / 2) = 1.33 Εκτός: 12.63 / ((11.80 + 11.25) / 2) = 1.10 Diff: 1.33 - 1.10 = +0.23 Error: +0.23 + AH line -0.25 = -0.02 |
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2.40 -0.10 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.40 + 1.00 + 0.80 + 1.60) / 2 = 2.40 Error: 2.40 - Goal line 2.50 = -0.10 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
302 203 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 1.00 0.80 | 1.60 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
11.14 | 11.80 11.25 | 7.88 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
15.60 | 11.80 9.00 | 12.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.80 | 3.20 2.80 | 4.60 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
52.40 | 46.60 42.00 | 46.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 05-09 14:00 |
Brighton
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2.40 -0.10 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.20 + 1.00 + 1.00 + 0.60) / 2 = 2.40 Error: 2.40 - Goal line 2.50 = -0.10 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
401 221 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.20 | 1.00 1.00 | 0.60 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
7.18 | 9.60 11.20 | 23.67 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
15.80 | 9.60 11.20 | 14.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
6.20 | 3.20 4.00 | 4.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
55.60 | 37.00 36.60 | 52.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 05-09 14:00 |
Brentford
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2.80 +0.30 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.00 + 1.20 + 1.20 + 1.20) / 2 = 2.80 Error: 2.80 - Goal line 2.50 = +0.30 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
221 131 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.00 | 1.20 1.20 | 1.20 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.00 | 10.00 8.00 | 12.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
16.00 | 12.00 9.60 | 14.40 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.80 | 5.00 3.20 | 5.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
47.20 | 47.60 47.00 | 51.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 05-09 14:00 |
Nottm Forest
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3.20 +0.70 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.60 + 0.80 + 2.00 + 2.00) / 2 = 3.20 Error: 3.20 - Goal line 2.50 = +0.70 |
5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
230 121 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.60 | 0.80 2.00 | 2.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.50 | 14.75 6.50 | 5.50 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
13.60 | 11.80 13.00 | 11.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.80 | 4.40 5.50 | 3.75 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
41.00 | 49.60 45.25 | 36.75 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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