| 31-10 16:30 |
Delfin SC
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+0.23 -0.02 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 12.18 Γηπεδούχος: 12.18 / ((8.38 + 9.00) / 2) = 1.40 Εκτός: 12.18 / ((7.75 + 13.00) / 2) = 1.17 Diff: 1.40 - 1.17 = +0.23 Error: +0.23 + AH line -0.25 = -0.02 |
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2.90 +0.90 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.60 + 1.60 + 0.80 + 1.80) / 2 = 2.90 Error: 2.90 - Goal line 2.00 = +0.90| Opponent | Delfin SC | Deportivo Cuenca |
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| Independiente del Valle | L 0-3 H 29-10-26 | L 0-1 A 02-08-26 | | Manta FC | W 4-2 H 18-10-26 | W 2-0 A 24-10-26 | | Mushuc Runa | W 3-2 H 09-10-26 | L 1-4 A 25-04-26 | | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | L 0-1 H 06-09-26 | L 0-1 A 17-03-26 | | Tecnico Universitario | W 1-0 H 01-09-26 | L 1-3 A 29-08-26 | | Μέσος Όρος Γκολ (F | A) | 1.60 - 1.60 | 0.80 - 1.80 |
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Delfin SC | Deportivo Cuenca |
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| Independiente del Valle | L 0-3 H 29-10-26 | L 0-1 A 02-08-26 | | Manta FC | W 4-2 H 18-10-26 | W 2-0 A 24-10-26 | | Mushuc Runa | W 3-2 H 09-10-26 | L 1-4 A 25-04-26 | | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | L 0-1 H 06-09-26 | L 0-1 A 17-03-26 | | Tecnico Universitario | W 1-0 H 01-09-26 | L 1-3 A 29-08-26 | | Μέσος Όρος Γκολ (F | A) | 1.60 - 1.60 | 0.80 - 1.80 |
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302 104 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.60 | 1.60 0.80 | 1.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
8.38 | 7.75 13.00 | 9.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
13.40 | 12.40 10.40 | 16.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.00 | 4.60 3.60 | 5.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
45.40 | 38.00 26.60 | 55.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 31-10 19:00 |
Emelec
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-
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2.30 +0.05 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (0.80 + 1.20 + 0.80 + 1.80) / 2 = 2.30 Error: 2.30 - Goal line 2.25 = +0.05| Opponent | Emelec | Leones FC |
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| Guayaquil City | L 0-1 H 25-10-26 | D 1-1 A 19-09-26 | | Club Atletico Libertad | L 1-2 H 20-09-26 | L 0-3 A 09-10-26 | | Manta FC | W 1-0 H 08-09-26 | W 2-0 A 15-08-26 | | Tecnico Universitario | W 2-1 H 16-08-26 | L 1-2 A 24-05-26 | | SD Aucas | L 0-2 H 02-08-26 | L 0-3 A 08-08-26 | | Μέσος Όρος Γκολ (F | A) | 0.80 - 1.20 | 0.80 - 1.80 |
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Emelec | Leones FC |
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| Guayaquil City | L 0-1 H 25-10-26 | D 1-1 A 19-09-26 | | Club Atletico Libertad | L 1-2 H 20-09-26 | L 0-3 A 09-10-26 | | Manta FC | W 1-0 H 08-09-26 | W 2-0 A 15-08-26 | | Tecnico Universitario | W 2-1 H 16-08-26 | L 1-2 A 24-05-26 | | SD Aucas | L 0-2 H 02-08-26 | L 0-3 A 08-08-26 | | Μέσος Όρος Γκολ (F | A) | 0.80 - 1.20 | 0.80 - 1.80 |
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203 113 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
0.80 | 1.20 0.80 | 1.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
22.50 | 8.33 15.75 | 7.44 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
18.00 | 10.00 12.60 | 13.40 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
6.00 | 3.20 3.80 | 5.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
41.40 | 32.80 39.00 | 38.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 31-10 21:30 |
Macara
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+0.64 +0.14 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 12.18 Γηπεδούχος: 12.18 / ((7.67 + 15.40) / 2) = 1.06 Εκτός: 12.18 / ((13.00 + 46.00) / 2) = 0.41 Diff: 1.06 - 0.41 = +0.64 Error: +0.64 + AH line -0.50 = +0.14 |
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2.00 -0.25 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.80 + 1.00 + 0.20 + 1.00) / 2 = 2.00 Error: 2.00 - Goal line 2.25 = -0.25| Opponent | Macara | Barcelona Guayaquil |
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| Independiente del Valle | W 1-0 H 17-10-26 | L 0-1 A 10-05-26 | | Emelec | W 1-0 H 13-09-26 | D 0-0 A 13-07-26 | | Manta FC | W 4-3 H 02-09-26 | L 0-2 A 30-08-26 | | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | D 1-1 H 18-08-26 | L 1-2 A 22-07-26 | | Mushuc Runa | W 2-1 H 14-07-26 | D 0-0 A 16-08-26 | | Μέσος Όρος Γκολ (F | A) | 1.80 - 1.00 | 0.20 - 1.00 |
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Macara | Barcelona Guayaquil |
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| Independiente del Valle | W 1-0 H 17-10-26 | L 0-1 A 10-05-26 | | Emelec | W 1-0 H 13-09-26 | D 0-0 A 13-07-26 | | Manta FC | W 4-3 H 02-09-26 | L 0-2 A 30-08-26 | | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | D 1-1 H 18-08-26 | L 1-2 A 22-07-26 | | Mushuc Runa | W 2-1 H 14-07-26 | D 0-0 A 16-08-26 | | Μέσος Όρος Γκολ (F | A) | 1.80 - 1.00 | 0.20 - 1.00 |
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410 023 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.80 | 1.00 0.20 | 1.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
7.67 | 13.00 46.00 | 15.40 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
13.80 | 13.00 9.20 | 15.40 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.80 | 4.60 1.80 | 5.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
35.20 | 32.20 31.60 | 42.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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