| 31-08 19:00 |
Paraguari AC
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1.90 -0.35 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged:
(1.40 + 1.20 + 0.80 + 0.40) / 2 = 1.90
Error: 1.90 - Goal line 2.25 = -0.35 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
221 230 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 1.20 0.80 | 0.40 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
4.14 | 3.33 12.50 | 29.50 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
5.80 | 4.00 10.00 | 11.80 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.20 | 1.80 4.40 | 4.40 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
40.80 | 36.20 52.80 | 76.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 31-08 21:30 |
Encarnacion FC
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-0.67 -0.17 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios:
League avg. total shots: 9.43
Γηπεδούχος: 9.43 / ((11.33 + 9.00) / 2) = 0.93
Εκτός: 9.43 / ((6.67 + 5.10) / 2) = 1.60
Diff: 0.93 - 1.60 = -0.67
Error: -0.67 + AH line 0.50 = -0.17 |
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2.40 -0.10 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged:
(0.60 + 1.20 + 2.00 + 1.00) / 2 = 2.40
Error: 2.40 - Goal line 2.50 = -0.10 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
113 311 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
0.60 | 1.20 2.00 | 1.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
11.33 | 6.67 5.10 | 9.00 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
6.80 | 8.00 10.20 | 9.00 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
3.60 | 3.60 4.60 | 3.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
42.80 | 41.20 55.60 | 62.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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