| 04-09 17:00 |
Villarreal B
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2.10 -0.15 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.20 + 0.60 + 1.00 + 1.40) / 2 = 2.10 Error: 2.10 - Goal line 2.25 = -0.15 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
230 212 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.20 | 0.60 1.00 | 1.40 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
10.00 | 9.00 8.20 | 4.57 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
12.00 | 5.40 8.20 | 6.40 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.80 | 2.40 3.20 | 2.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
75.60 | 64.40 42.40 | 42.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 05-09 16:45 |
FC Cartagena
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+0.64 +0.39 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 10.10 Γηπεδούχος: 10.10 / ((16.75 + 3.54) / 2) = 1.00 Εκτός: 10.10 / ((54.00 + 3.38) / 2) = 0.35 Diff: 1.00 - 0.35 = +0.64 Error: +0.64 + AH line -0.25 = +0.39 |
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2.60 +0.35 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (0.80 + 0.20 + 1.60 + 2.60) / 2 = 2.60 Error: 2.60 - Goal line 2.25 = +0.35 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
320 014 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
0.80 | 0.20 1.60 | 2.60 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
16.75 | 54.00 3.38 | 3.54 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
13.40 | 10.80 5.40 | 9.20 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.40 | 3.20 1.60 | 4.00 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
58.00 | 47.40 42.60 | 46.00 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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