| 30-10 22:30 |
Louisville City FC
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2.48 +0.23 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (1.40 + 0.80 + 1.25 + 1.50) / 2 = 2.48 Error: 2.48 - Goal line 2.25 = +0.23| Opponent | Louisville City FC | Pittsburgh Riverhounds |
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| Detroit City FC | D 0-0 H 24-10-26 | L 0-1 A 19-09-26 | | Indy Eleven | W 4-1 H 17-10-26 | D 1-1 A 04-04-26 | | Loudoun United FC | W 2-1 H 19-09-26 | W 3-2 A 14-03-26 | | El Paso Locomotive FC | L 1-2 H 12-09-26 | L 1-2 A 27-08-26 | | Detroit City FC | D 0-0 H 30-08-26 | L 0-1 A 19-09-26 | | Μέσος Όρος Γκολ (F | A) | 1.40 - 0.80 | 1.25 - 1.50 |
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5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Louisville City FC | Pittsburgh Riverhounds |
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| Detroit City FC | D 0-0 H 24-10-26 | L 0-1 A 19-09-26 | | Indy Eleven | W 4-1 H 17-10-26 | D 1-1 A 04-04-26 | | Loudoun United FC | W 2-1 H 19-09-26 | W 3-2 A 14-03-26 | | El Paso Locomotive FC | L 1-2 H 12-09-26 | L 1-2 A 27-08-26 | | Detroit City FC | D 0-0 H 30-08-26 | L 0-1 A 19-09-26 | | Μέσος Όρος Γκολ (F | A) | 1.40 - 0.80 | 1.25 - 1.50 |
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221 112 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.40 | 0.80 1.25 | 1.50 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
7.71 | 10.25 5.40 | 4.83 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
10.80 | 8.20 6.75 | 7.25 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.40 | 3.00 4.50 | 3.25 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
58.40 | 43.20 52.25 | 45.25 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 30-10 23:00 |
Charleston Battery
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+1.07 +0.57 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 9.67 Γηπεδούχος: 9.67 / ((5.58 + 3.30) / 2) = 2.18 Εκτός: 9.67 / ((11.00 + 6.43) / 2) = 1.11 Diff: 2.18 - 1.11 = +1.07 Error: +1.07 + AH line -0.50 = +0.57 |
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3.30 +0.80 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.40 + 0.80 + 1.40 + 2.00) / 2 = 3.30 Error: 3.30 - Goal line 2.50 = +0.80| Opponent | Charleston Battery | Rhode Island FC |
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| Indy Eleven | W 1-0 H 24-10-26 | L 0-1 A 30-05-26 | | Louisville City FC | L 0-2 H 10-10-26 | L 2-4 A 21-03-26 | | Hartford Athletic | L 1-2 H 02-09-26 | L 1-2 A 24-10-26 | | Miami FC | W 5-0 H 24-08-26 | L 1-2 A 28-03-26 | | Brooklyn FC | W 5-0 H 01-08-26 | W 3-1 A 03-10-26 | | Μέσος Όρος Γκολ (F | A) | 2.40 - 0.80 | 1.40 - 2.00 |
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Charleston Battery | Rhode Island FC |
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| Indy Eleven | W 1-0 H 24-10-26 | L 0-1 A 30-05-26 | | Louisville City FC | L 0-2 H 10-10-26 | L 2-4 A 21-03-26 | | Hartford Athletic | L 1-2 H 02-09-26 | L 1-2 A 24-10-26 | | Miami FC | W 5-0 H 24-08-26 | L 1-2 A 28-03-26 | | Brooklyn FC | W 5-0 H 01-08-26 | W 3-1 A 03-10-26 | | Μέσος Όρος Γκολ (F | A) | 2.40 - 0.80 | 1.40 - 2.00 |
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302 104 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.40 | 0.80 1.40 | 2.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
5.58 | 11.00 6.43 | 3.30 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
13.40 | 8.80 9.00 | 6.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.80 | 3.20 3.60 | 3.20 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
61.40 | 41.40 56.20 | 54.80 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 30-10 23:30 |
Tampa Bay Rowdies
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2.00 -1.00 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.20 + 0.00 + 1.00 + 0.80) / 2 = 2.00 Error: 2.00 - Goal line 3.00 = -1.00| Opponent | Tampa Bay Rowdies | Miami FC |
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| Sporting Jax | W 2-0 H 24-10-26 | W 1-0 A 25-04-26 | | Detroit City FC | W 1-0 H 17-10-26 | L 1-2 A 21-05-26 | | Birmingham Legion FC | W 4-0 H 19-09-26 | D 0-0 A 08-05-26 | | Brooklyn FC | W 2-0 H 05-09-26 | D 1-1 A 12-09-26 | | Rhode Island FC | W 2-0 H 15-08-26 | W 2-1 A 19-09-26 | | Μέσος Όρος Γκολ (F | A) | 2.20 - 0.00 | 1.00 - 0.80 |
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Tampa Bay Rowdies | Miami FC |
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| Sporting Jax | W 2-0 H 24-10-26 | W 1-0 A 25-04-26 | | Detroit City FC | W 1-0 H 17-10-26 | L 1-2 A 21-05-26 | | Birmingham Legion FC | W 4-0 H 19-09-26 | D 0-0 A 08-05-26 | | Brooklyn FC | W 2-0 H 05-09-26 | D 1-1 A 12-09-26 | | Rhode Island FC | W 2-0 H 15-08-26 | W 2-1 A 19-09-26 | | Μέσος Όρος Γκολ (F | A) | 2.20 - 0.00 | 1.00 - 0.80 |
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500 221 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.20 | 0.00 1.00 | 0.80 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
3.91 | - 8.60 | 10.75 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
8.60 | 5.20 8.60 | 8.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
4.20 | 2.00 4.00 | 2.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
49.40 | 40.80 40.80 | 63.20 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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