| 06-09 13:00 |
BKMA FC
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-0.69 +0.31 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios:
League avg. total shots: 8.27
Γηπεδούχος: 8.27 / ((4.00 + 26.50) / 2) = 0.54
Εκτός: 8.27 / ((8.25 + 5.20) / 2) = 1.23
Diff: 0.54 - 1.23 = -0.69
Error: -0.69 + AH line 1.00 = +0.31 |
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2.00 -0.75 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged:
(1.00 + 1.60 + 1.00 + 0.40) / 2 = 2.00
Error: 2.00 - Goal line 2.75 = -0.75 |
5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
023 311 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
1.00 | 1.60 1.00 | 0.40 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
4.00 | 8.25 5.20 | 26.50 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
4.00 | 13.20 5.20 | 10.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
1.80 | 3.80 2.40 | 4.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
43.00 | 66.00 43.00 | 52.60 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 06-09 15:00 |
Shirak
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3.06 +0.56 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged:
(0.40 + 2.40 + 2.33 + 1.00) / 2 = 3.06
Error: 3.06 - Goal line 2.50 = +0.56 |
5 3 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games. |
005 210 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
0.40 | 2.40 2.33 | 1.00 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
13.00 | 4.33 3.14 | 14.33 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
5.20 | 10.40 7.33 | 14.33 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
1.60 | 5.60 4.67 | 5.33 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
40.80 | 66.40 30.33 | 62.33 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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