| 27-10 19:00 |
Cardiff U21
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3.80 +0.05 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.80 + 1.00 + 2.20 + 1.60) / 2 = 3.80 Error: 3.80 - Goal line 3.75 = +0.05| Opponent | Cardiff U21 | Coventry U21 |
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| Peterborough U21 | W 6-0 H 18-09-26 | D 1-1 A 18-02-26 | | Barnsley U21 | L 1-2 H 18-08-26 | L 1-2 A 27-02-26 | | Hull U21 | L 1-2 H 20-04-26 | W 4-2 A 20-01-26 | | Fleetwood Town U21 | W 2-1 H 17-03-26 | W 5-0 A 03-04-26 | | Brentford U21 | W 4-0 H 27-01-26 | L 0-3 A 17-03-26 | | Moy. de buts (F | A) | 2.80 - 1.00 | 2.20 - 1.60 |
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5 5 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Cardiff U21 | Coventry U21 |
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| Peterborough U21 | W 6-0 H 18-09-26 | D 1-1 A 18-02-26 | | Barnsley U21 | L 1-2 H 18-08-26 | L 1-2 A 27-02-26 | | Hull U21 | L 1-2 H 20-04-26 | W 4-2 A 20-01-26 | | Fleetwood Town U21 | W 2-1 H 17-03-26 | W 5-0 A 03-04-26 | | Brentford U21 | W 4-0 H 27-01-26 | L 0-3 A 17-03-26 | | Moy. de buts (F | A) | 2.80 - 1.00 | 2.20 - 1.60 |
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302 212 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.80 | 1.00 2.20 | 1.60 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
5.14 | 8.80 4.64 | 7.25 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
14.40 | 8.80 10.20 | 11.60 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
7.20 | 3.60 5.20 | 4.80 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
51.80 | 34.40 38.40 | 47.40 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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| 27-10 19:30 |
Colchester U21
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+1.07 +1.07 Mirror matchup - expected goals from the league's shot volume and each side's shots-per-goal ratios: League avg. total shots: 11.85 Domicile: 11.85 / ((5.33 + 3.50) / 2) = 2.68 Extérieure: 11.85 / ((9.14 + 5.56) / 2) = 1.61 Diff: 2.68 - 1.61 = +1.07 Error: +1.07 + AH line 0.00 = +1.07 |
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4.78 +0.78 Each side's scored + conceded average is already a full-game total, so the two sides are averaged: (2.40 + 1.40 + 2.25 + 3.50) / 2 = 4.78 Error: 4.78 - Goal line 4.00 = +0.78| Opponent | Colchester U21 | QPR U21 |
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| Swansea U21 | L 1-2 H 06-10-26 | L 2-4 A 28-09-26 | | Sheffield Wed U21 | W 2-1 H 25-09-26 | W 6-2 A 25-11-25 | | Cardiff U21 | D 1-1 H 14-04-26 | L 1-3 A 12-12-25 | | Swansea U21 | W 3-1 H 09-03-26 | L 2-4 A 28-09-26 | | Watford U21 | W 5-2 H 13-02-26 | L 0-5 A 03-02-26 | | Moy. de buts (F | A) | 2.40 - 1.40 | 2.25 - 3.50 |
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5 4 Venue-matched games against shared opponents within the last year - the home team counted only at home, the away team only away. All averages below are taken over these games.| Opponent | Colchester U21 | QPR U21 |
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| Swansea U21 | L 1-2 H 06-10-26 | L 2-4 A 28-09-26 | | Sheffield Wed U21 | W 2-1 H 25-09-26 | W 6-2 A 25-11-25 | | Cardiff U21 | D 1-1 H 14-04-26 | L 1-3 A 12-12-25 | | Swansea U21 | W 3-1 H 09-03-26 | L 2-4 A 28-09-26 | | Watford U21 | W 5-2 H 13-02-26 | L 0-5 A 03-02-26 | | Moy. de buts (F | A) | 2.40 - 1.40 | 2.25 - 3.50 |
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311 103 Wins - draws - losses in the mutual games; home team on the first line, away below. A mirror pattern (3+ wins vs 3+ losses) activates the Expected Goals Diff column. |
2.40 | 1.40 2.25 | 3.50 Goals scored | conceded per game, averaged over the team's mutual games. Green = better net (For - Against) than the opponent. |
5.33 | 9.14 5.56 | 3.50 Shots needed per goal: total shots divided by goals over the mutual games, For | Against. Lower is better - green = better net than the opponent. |
12.80 | 12.80 12.50 | 12.25 Shots taken | allowed per game (on + off target), averaged over the mutual games. |
5.80 | 4.20 5.50 | 6.50 Shots on target taken | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
52.20 | 44.40 45.00 | 44.25 Dangerous attacks made | allowed per game, averaged over the mutual games. |
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